** In Zogby’s Wall Street Journal Battlegrounds Poll published today, both Democratic gubernatorial candidates lead Republican Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger. State Controller Steve Westly leads Arnold by nine points. State Treasurer Phil Angelides leads Arnold by five points. The poll was conducted from March 22 to March 27.
Here are the trial heats: Steve Westly 47.1%, Arnold Schwarzenegger 37.8%. Phil Angelides 45.5%, Arnold Schwarzenegger 40.7%. One reason for the very large difference between this and other polls and the new Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) poll in this respect may be that PPIC doesn’t give much of an identifier to either Democratic candidate in the match-up question with Arnold. Arnold has near universal name ID, far more than either Democratic candidate. But Angelides and Westly are both described merely as “a Democrat” in the PPIC match-up questions. Of course, both are already state constitutional officers. As a result, the PPIC poll, quite valuable in many other respects, has their support levels far below the baseline vote for any Democratic gubernatorial nominee in this mostly Democratic state. In contrast, Arnold’s level of support is about the same in both the PPIC and Zogby/Wall Street Journal polls.
** Just to clarify, Mark Fabiani is now personal public relations counsel to Rob Reiner, but his partner and fellow “Master of Disaster” damage control PR expert, Chris Lehane, is not working on the project.
** Also, while the California Nurses Association was a key part of the labor coalition that shot down Arnold Schwarzenegger’s “Year of Reform” special election initiative agenda and continues to work in close alliance with the Alliance for a Better California (ABC) labor coalition, the nurses union is not a formal member of ABC. The ABC unions all meet a rather expensive membership level in the Alliance.
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Barbara:Thank You, Mr. Bradley! Just copied, pasted, (credited your blog of course) and e-mailed to all my friends, colleagues and 2 of my enemies….because I keep them close. Go Westly!!!
Mar 31, 2006 - 1:26 pm Mike Levin:GO STEVE!
Mar 31, 2006 - 1:47 pm Julia Rosen:Bill do you have trend lines or internals?
Oh and I agree with your PPIC methodology problems. They were an outlier.
Mar 31, 2006 - 1:50 pm Eli Jacks:Barbara Says:
March 31st, 2006 at 1:26 pm
Thank You, Mr. Bradley! Just copied, pasted, (credited your blog of course) and e-mailed to all my friends, colleagues and 2 of my enemies….because I keep them close. Go Westly!!!
Mike Levin Says:
March 31st, 2006 at 1:47 pm
GO STEVE!
And I get dinged for being a partisan.
Mar 31, 2006 - 1:50 pm Mike Levin:Go Phil! The man who stood up to Arnold and his disastrous ideas from Day One.
What can I say? I am a proud Westly supporter.
Mar 31, 2006 - 1:53 pm Bill Bradley:No, Julia, I don’t. I just have the numbers from the Journal. (Actually, this is just one part of a great compendium of polling numbers from races for governor and U.S. senator around the nation.)
I would need to subscribe to Zogby International to get the internals. I suppose I can do that although it is expensive but I’ll see first if one of my sources has them.
Mar 31, 2006 - 1:54 pm Eli Jacks:More power to you Mike. I was just pointing out that yesterday I was being filleted for being an Angelides supporter on this blog.
Mar 31, 2006 - 2:03 pm Julia Rosen:Yet another reason why I like SurveyUSA, anyone can get at the internals.
Mar 31, 2006 - 2:06 pm Bill Bradley:Eli, Westly campaign officials say they tracked you in several different incarnations on their web site.
Mar 31, 2006 - 2:11 pm Eli Jacks:Westly campaign officials have a habit of saying things. I don’t post on their blog anymore.
Mar 31, 2006 - 2:17 pm Barbara:“I thought this was the blog of a journalist, not the Westly cheerleading section- Eli jacks”
Looks to me you were rightfully dinged not for being a partisan but for complaining about some of us being pro Westly, and more importantly attacking the calibre of this blog’s author’s political writing…
some of us are big supporters of Westly… but you need to understand that all of us love Mr. Bradley and New West Notes …so quit being so whiney, I don’t mind you supporting Phil, but just speaking for myself, I can’t abide a man that whines…
Mar 31, 2006 - 2:23 pm gail:wait until zogby is assailed for his methodology.
Mar 31, 2006 - 2:55 pm Bill Bradley:gee, i wonder who would launch that?
I think this version of Team Schwarzenegger is turning out to be more candid.
Mar 31, 2006 - 4:34 pm Hap Hazard:I don’t think it pays to rely on Zogby unless one is his client, like the Le Moyne College’s Center for Peace and Global Studies.
http://www.mysterypollster.com/main/2006/02/the_zogby_poll_.html
“OK, now I’m convinced Americans were in favor of removing Terri Schiavo’s feeding tube: Zogby says they were against it.” Mickey Kaus, April 2005.
Mar 31, 2006 - 6:02 pm AthlonGuy:Look you idiots. There is nothing more important than crushing the enemies of California. Wake up or you will drown in those stupid oil pits in La Brea. Action action action!
Mar 31, 2006 - 10:13 pm Bill Bradley:BTW … Barbara, I don’t mind criticism. Thing are a little tense over there. I appreciate the situation.
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