Get Ready for an Even More Radical Iranian Regime
Disturbing signs point to increasing boldness in Iran's confrontation with the West.
The conflict with Iran is entering a new, more dangerous phase. Video of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad holding a meeting with high-level officials on June 13 in Qom has leaked out, giving us insight into how he sees the near future.
“A new revolution has begun,” he says, as the Islamic Revolution finds its “true destiny” and enters a more difficult period. He speaks with genuine optimism and enthusiasm, and says it will not be limited to Iran. The tape clearly shows that Ahmadinejad believes that something has just changed that makes this moment in history special and directly related to Iran’s role in Allah’s plans.
The tape also brings bad news for Iran’s students. Ahmadinejad calls for an expansion of “Islamic culture” in the universities, attributing domestic unrest to a lack of training of the younger generation. Students should expect a complete rewriting of the curriculum to “Islamize” the education, and even stricter puritan-like enforcement of Sharia law and indoctrination. From the sound of it, a second Iranian cultural revolution is on the way.
The purging of dissident elements from the regime and increasingly extreme measures to silence the opposition, the language of Ahmadinejad at this meeting, and recent actions taken by the Iranian government strongly indicate that the regime is becoming more radical in the belief that doing so now is an act of obedience to Allah. The capturing of Iranian weapons in Afghanistan, the increased violence in Iraq, the escalation of violence between the Yemeni government and Iranian-backed Houthi rebels, and the arrest of an al-Qaeda cell in Kuwait trained by their colleagues in Iran show that they are increasing support for this “new revolution” outside their borders, just as it was stated in the tape.
The Iranian reaction to the United States’ offer of direct talks regarding their nuclear program reflects a new boldness and an even more confrontational attitude. The regime ruled out any discussion centered on its program, but instead insisted on talks regarding worldwide nuclear disarmament and, reportedly, the various conflicts in the region. Something had to have happened to explain why the regime has suddenly become emboldened and remarkably honest about its refusal to give up its nuclear program, rather than try to lure the West into its consistently successful dog-and-pony show.
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Ryan Mauro is the founder of WorldThreats.com and the director of intelligence at the Asymmetrical Warfare and Intelligence Center (AWIC). He’s also the national security researcher for the Christian Action Network and a published author. He can be contacted at TDCAnalyst@aol.com.
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12 Comments
1. Delia:Game over. We are in deep shit.
Sep 19, 2009 - 12:18 am 2. Andrea:Iran has already got several disillusions with Ahmadinejad’s anger and authority.
Sep 19, 2009 - 2:40 am 3. SAF:They are now approaching the civil diplomacy and it will be hard for their real international power to refresh war and terrorism.
That implies some tolerance inside Iran too.
As the west fiddles they will continue to bide their time while developing Nuclear weapons, feeding terrorists in Iraq, Afghanistan, Hamas and Hezbollah. Once they are sure they have a working nuke expect the heat to be turned up everywhere, especially Israel. This will escalate into something tragic.
It is the aim of Russia to block the straits of Hormuz in order to boost the price of their oil. The conflagration Iran causes will necessitate an Israeli response which will accomplish this goal.
The Russians play chess. Everyone else Candy Land.
Sep 19, 2009 - 3:25 am 4. ahem:Yeah. One of those signs was Obama’s capitulation two days ago of the missile defense system designed to protect us from a direct nuclear strike from Iran. We are screwed and our children are screwed.
Sep 19, 2009 - 6:26 am 5. Concerned About The Future:Yes, elections have consequences, and the consequences of this election is that you had better have a horde of gold to spend after the dollar disintegrates. It would also help to have a bomb shelter to hide in after nukes start falling on our home soil.
Or we can wake up and remove these clowns known as the Obama administration through the time honored use of impeachment.
Sep 19, 2009 - 6:45 am 6. Bohemond:Hey Barack! That fist upside your head unclenching yet?
Sep 19, 2009 - 8:07 am 7. Arroyo:We are currently paying the price for Jimmy Carter’s ineptness in dealing with Iran. And, Obama is a Carter redux……Here we are, almost three decades later, coddling Iran AGAIN! I suspect that after Obama is gone from office, the citizens of the USA will be dealing with the mess well into the year 2040. That is, if a USA even exists by 2040.
Sep 19, 2009 - 8:40 am 8. John "birther" Samford:#5, why do you think he would go? The Usurper has no respet for the Constitution, the nation it defines nor the rule of law.
Sep 19, 2009 - 9:00 am 9. John "birther" Samford:The useful fools are all prattling on about winning the next election without giving thought to the simple possibility that there won’t be a next election.
Just because there has always been elections doesn’t mean there will always be election. Right now the best hope for America is that the CIA does a Kennedy on the Usurper. Or his Air Force escort hits the wrong button. Accidents happen, you know.
Back on topic, remember the lessons from the British Empire. The Empire is gone, but the peoples it ruled are still the same.
Sep 19, 2009 - 9:08 am 10. Sara:3rd worlder’s are either at your throat or at your knees. Treating them as equals just confuses them.
This is a fact because the 3rd world is not equal to the 1st and the 3rd worlders see that EVERY day. The streets of Cairo are jammed with autos. NONE of them manufactured in Egypt. Dittto for Singapoer, Dakar, etc. Go in any home of a well to do Egyptian and you will find appliances from Germany, USA or some other European nation. No washing machine, freezers or micro-waves made in Egypt, Lebanon or Kenya. The third worlders see this every day and KNOW they are not equal. Not being equal means either better or worse.
At your throat or at your knees.
His new optimism could be that Obama has convienced him the US will not defend Israel. In addition Obama canceled America’s missle shield program and is working to unilaterally disarm America of nukes.
Every murderous wackjob in the world knows this is the time to make their moves against America and American allies. The “president of the world” is on the side of America’s enemies; no doubt about it. He’s also setting up defeat and slaughter for American troops in Afghanistan with viet nam style rules of engagement.
Sep 19, 2009 - 1:21 pm 11. misanthropicus:The Manchurian Candidate In Full Bloom – Handlers Very Content (AP, 2 pm. PST – coverage constantly updated).
Why would Ahmadinejad act differently since for years he has been caressed and “understood” by the internationalist/ left wing coteries that makes for the United Nations? And now, tracks having been nicely oiled by El Baradei & the Nobel Prize committee, with Hussein’s ascent in the White House Ahmadinejad’s can merrily sail ahead – his best years are here.
On the other hand, Obama didn’t do an idiocy with his missiles shield decision – contrary, his decision was a deliberate (and alas! fully predictable!) step in advancing his agenda for weakening America by discouraging our allies and by giving our rivals the chance to strenghten their positions.
The return of Churchill’s bust to London wasn’t a mistake – it was a deliberate affront showing the British that they are on America’s list of partners somewhere behind Malawi but ahead of Tobriand Island.
Skipping the Gdansk commemoration of the WWII beginnings and having there only gen. Jones (who isn’t even a cabinet member), shows the same – but mister Putin was present at Gdansk.
As far as the missiles shield situation it is uncessary to outguess the Russians in this situation – they have confirmed credentials of doing what they announce they will do. The Kremlin said bluntly that there is no quid-pro-quo in this situation – it’s that simple, Obama took the Europeans to the laundry on the fuzzy notion that Russia will in a way or other influence Iran.
This won’t happen, since:
1) Russia has no interest whatsoever to do anything to enhance or help America’s safety, reputation or strategical interests, in this case, defanging Iran, and:
2) even if they would want to do something in this situation, they simply don’t have that much of a leverage there -
… thus, the Manchurian Candidate SUCCEEDED!
A confirmation that this decision’s consequences will be ugly comes from Robert Gates himself, who tiredly credited the decision on some “new perceptions” regarding Iran’s atomic capabilities – my! “perceptions”, this is the newspeak used for assessing the risks of a nuclear war?
Not really – “perception” here means “include me out”, i.e., it is a term hedging the Pentagon’s presence in a decision likely to have odious consequences.
But ’till then, the Manchurian Candidate’s handlers sure have some most excellent days in the recent memory -
Sep 19, 2009 - 2:45 pm 12. Bahman:Hi Ryan,
Sep 24, 2009 - 2:04 amVery interesting article. You talked about the fact that Ahmadinejad believes that God has tasked him with the new revolution. Since I know these so called officials from up close, I can assure you that Ahmadinejad is no more religious than those who rape in prison under the name of Allah. He uses this sort of language to fool his followers. He knows very well that many of the things he said and does is heresy in the very religious he is supposedly so zealous about! He lies on live TV, he suppresses, he tortures and… to keep the Islamic Republic in power. That is the main goal of the Ahmadinejad tribe. To stay in power. And I don’t personally think it has anything to do with God. We hear a lot of things here in Iran about the family members of these officials who are in power. Most of them are drowning in their own moral corruption! Believe me, I know. So don’t believe what they say about “carrying out the will of God” and so on. They want us to think that they’re religious and actually believe in the stuff their doing. But they’re not.
I totally agree with you that the regime is becoming more radical, because the US does not support the Iranian opposition which emboldens the regime. The regime is trying to survive for even one more day and clenches to anything to help its survival. Whether it be to suppress more or work faster on its nukes or carry out more terrorist activities in neighboring countries.
As we move on you can see that as the days go on, they get more radicalized, in and out of Iran.