My wife’s family resides north of orlando, and even though that’s much more “liberal” than Jacksonville or Pensacola, they, being good Catholic conservatives, notice a difference from very liberal south Florida where they lived prior. Tampa is also right-leaning. FLA is one state McCain should easily win, thus, I have no idea/explanation for why the media is lying saying BHO is ahead in polls. Yes, many elderly Jews — different from liberal young Jews in DC, NY, LA, Boston et al, will support McCain. Ditto New Hampshire, Indiana, North Carolina and probably Virginia and ColoradO: all states McCain will keep or turn red on his way to victory…

The American people are too smart to elect a deplorable person with NO experience like Obama.

Even with the cheating and racism from the left, there are, thankfully, millions more hard working farmers, businessmen and ordinary citizens who will push McCain over the top than left wing bigots, professors, lawyers, collegians, blacks voting for him ONLY due to his skin color and white guilt latte elites.

I know this b/c I travel and speak to them. The elite media does NOT. They lie.

With slanderous, defamatory, and shoddily researched pieces appearing regularly in publications across the country about BOTH CANDIDATES, it is refreshing to see a well-written article that appeals to true investigative journalism. I happen to think Mr. Kaufman is right on the money with his points, and given the extent of his research and the outlining of his analytical method behind such research, it’s hard to argue with his conclusions. As I’ve come to expect, Kaufman’s article was also aesthetically, a pleasure to read–but like the media’s slanted portrayal of public opinion, this no longer comes as a surprise…

The latest gallup poll shows Obama ahead by 10 points (51-41) as of 10/9.

The polls do not appear to be a landslide victory for either side and your premise that this election will come down to less than 7 critical battleground states will most likely be correct.

I’m just not confident McCain can make up the difference in time.

I’m quite interested in HamiltonJay’s findings in PA. Is it merely anecdotal? He seems VERY sure of himself, and I want desperately to believe he’s on target…but how could the MSM get it THAT wrong in PA?

Jim,

This is the same MSM and polling that was reporting that PA was neck and neck in the Primary polling for Hillary V Fauxbama in PA…. Hillary absolutely pasted Fauxbama, and beat him by 9 points in the primary here. Trust me, there is a LOT more on the ground here in the rust belt than the national pundents or the MSM or even the polling outfits are capturing.

They get hung up on the Democratic registration disadvantage of R’s here every cycle, failing to understand that while D’s do outnumber in registrations a significant amount, the D’s here are not New England, North Eastern Ds… There are a lot of Blue Dog/Reagan Dems, they are socially conservative, fiscally conservative and are registered D primarily because of their family backgrounds in blue collar work like mining, factories etc. They aren’t liberal north eastern dems.

The Rust Belt is won or lost on the backs of blue collar white voters, the same voters Fauxbama LOST among his own democratic party faithful here by a huge margin in the primaries. He’s done nothing to solve his problems with these voters. He’ll get the D’s who are party robots who vote D no matter if it be Mickey Mouse as the candidate, but he’s got major problems outside that core. Its not just in PA folks but across the rust belt.

Rendell is in the bag for Hillary, and always has been, he is doing nothing but token efforts for Fauxbama, and the state machine is and will not be mobilized for him. Rendell spent literally over a year doing nothing but campaigning for Hillary… word on the street is he was promised a cabinet position for his help to her. He, like she knows Fauxbama goes down in flames, she’s the defacto candidate in 2012.

The “support” Rendell has been giving is the same backhanded support that the Clinton’s have been giving. The state machine will not be firing on all cylinders for Fauxbama.

PUMA’s are another issue, like or not there are women who are going to vote for a woman, regardless of political party.. will it be all? Of course not, but Kerry took the state by about 2.5% of the votes cast, every little bit that takes away from traditional democratic voters is that much less Fauxbama has.

PA only goes D when everything in the state is working for the D candidate and the grassroots and traditional groups are fully behind the D.. and that’s not the case this year.

During the primaries, the Unions went to hillary here and told her, you want our support you must promise NOT TO PUT FAUXBAMA ON THE TICKET! Think maybe these leaders knew something? Now those same leaders are trying to sell this empty suit and they don’t believe in him and the rank and file are pretty much saying “no sale”.

Oh, and just for the record, the democratically controlled state congress today decided to take the rest of the year off, while at the same time announcing a $3 BILLION dollar shortfall.. oh and lets not forget they get an automatic 5% COLA raise before the end of the year too.

Fauxbama from day one has been running a “cult of personality” campaign, and that’s not a campaign strategy that is going to win you the rust belt voters folks. May fly in Cali, Chicago, and the NE, but its a doom strategy in the rust belt.