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	<title>Comments on: Seven States that Will Decide the Election</title>
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		<title>By: Zbigniew Mazurak</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/seven-states-that-will-decide-the-election/comment-page-2/#comment-244218</link>
		<dc:creator>Zbigniew Mazurak</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Apr 2009 12:40:13 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>And Latinos voted for Obama by a 2:1 margin. 66% vs 33%.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And Latinos voted for Obama by a 2:1 margin. 66% vs 33%.</p>
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		<title>By: Zbigniew Mazurak</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/seven-states-that-will-decide-the-election/comment-page-2/#comment-244217</link>
		<dc:creator>Zbigniew Mazurak</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Apr 2009 12:39:10 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Ari Kaufman has proven himself to be wrong - as is usually the case.

Obama won in 6 of those 7 states, and consequently, won the general election as a whole. He lost only in MO.

Virginia voted for a Dem for the first time since 1964.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ari Kaufman has proven himself to be wrong &#8211; as is usually the case.</p>
<p>Obama won in 6 of those 7 states, and consequently, won the general election as a whole. He lost only in MO.</p>
<p>Virginia voted for a Dem for the first time since 1964.</p>
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		<title>By: It’s All Coming Down to a Few Key States … &#124; USA TERM LIMITS</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/seven-states-that-will-decide-the-election/comment-page-2/#comment-118344</link>
		<dc:creator>It’s All Coming Down to a Few Key States … &#124; USA TERM LIMITS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 04 Oct 2008 15:54:44 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>[...] on both sides, and superfluous fodder for the media, to believe more than seven states will ultimately decide the 2008 [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] on both sides, and superfluous fodder for the media, to believe more than seven states will ultimately decide the 2008 [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Pajamas Media » It&#8217;s All Coming Down to a Few Key States&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/seven-states-that-will-decide-the-election/comment-page-2/#comment-117433</link>
		<dc:creator>Pajamas Media » It&#8217;s All Coming Down to a Few Key States&#8230;</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Oct 2008 08:40:08 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>[...] on both sides, and superfluous fodder for the media, to believe more than seven states will ultimately decide the 2008 [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] on both sides, and superfluous fodder for the media, to believe more than seven states will ultimately decide the 2008 [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Ryan</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/seven-states-that-will-decide-the-election/comment-page-2/#comment-95458</link>
		<dc:creator>Ryan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Aug 2008 02:43:52 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Excellent piece - very insightful and informative analysis. Love the background and research that was put into this. For a relative novice in figuring out how elections are won/lost; this is very intriguing info. Something to put in the hip pocket as we march towards November.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Excellent piece &#8211; very insightful and informative analysis. Love the background and research that was put into this. For a relative novice in figuring out how elections are won/lost; this is very intriguing info. Something to put in the hip pocket as we march towards November.</p>
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		<title>By: Ari</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/seven-states-that-will-decide-the-election/comment-page-2/#comment-94768</link>
		<dc:creator>Ari</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 24 Aug 2008 15:23:35 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Sakaki, fair enough. I do think the poor economy in Michigan is the fault of local and state leaders there, who are mostly, if not all, Dems. At least that&#039;s what my contacts tell me. As I noted in my last article, though Mich along with Minne and Wisc will go blue, I surely think Mich is in play for the GOP. How can it not be when Granholm is so unpopular and the thug mayor is a nat&#039;l embarrassment? I cannot imagine Romney can hurt terribly. The northern part of the state is staunchly Republican. But we&#039;ll see.

Have you visited all of these states? Curious. I have...multiple times

I have taken time to write an article solely about Ohio, live a state over, have family throughout the state and am there about twice per month. I don&#039;t assume much. I know how it&#039;ll play out, and the average union Democrat who is Catholic and socially conservative, no matter what his status is, is not going to &quot;vote for change&quot; when Barack Hussein Obama is the candidate, supports partial birth abortion, and bring the wrong &quot;change.&quot; And of course, the millions of Republicans will support McCain en masse. 

New Mexico could go Obama, but hispanics will shudder at supporting a pro-abortion candidate, so we&#039;ll see. McCain&#039;s pretty popular throughout NM as the piece notes. He lives next door and visits often.

Colorado is more than Denver, Boulder and Aspen. In states where a very unpopular Bush won over a candidate (Kerry) far more moderate and qualified than BHO, you cannot assume the centrist McCain will lose to a naive radical. Eastern and Western CO are VERY conservative, as the state&#039;s second largest city: Colorado Springs. I travel, observe, record and judge. I know a lot about the United States. It&#039;s one area I have expertise, hence this series of article. I&#039;m not worried about any &quot;swing states&quot; but perhaps NM and Iowa. And those two will not be enough for BHO to win, especially if McCain takes New Hampshire, and maybe Mich, PA, et al.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sakaki, fair enough. I do think the poor economy in Michigan is the fault of local and state leaders there, who are mostly, if not all, Dems. At least that&#8217;s what my contacts tell me. As I noted in my last article, though Mich along with Minne and Wisc will go blue, I surely think Mich is in play for the GOP. How can it not be when Granholm is so unpopular and the thug mayor is a nat&#8217;l embarrassment? I cannot imagine Romney can hurt terribly. The northern part of the state is staunchly Republican. But we&#8217;ll see.</p>
<p>Have you visited all of these states? Curious. I have&#8230;multiple times</p>
<p>I have taken time to write an article solely about Ohio, live a state over, have family throughout the state and am there about twice per month. I don&#8217;t assume much. I know how it&#8217;ll play out, and the average union Democrat who is Catholic and socially conservative, no matter what his status is, is not going to &#8220;vote for change&#8221; when Barack Hussein Obama is the candidate, supports partial birth abortion, and bring the wrong &#8220;change.&#8221; And of course, the millions of Republicans will support McCain en masse. </p>
<p>New Mexico could go Obama, but hispanics will shudder at supporting a pro-abortion candidate, so we&#8217;ll see. McCain&#8217;s pretty popular throughout NM as the piece notes. He lives next door and visits often.</p>
<p>Colorado is more than Denver, Boulder and Aspen. In states where a very unpopular Bush won over a candidate (Kerry) far more moderate and qualified than BHO, you cannot assume the centrist McCain will lose to a naive radical. Eastern and Western CO are VERY conservative, as the state&#8217;s second largest city: Colorado Springs. I travel, observe, record and judge. I know a lot about the United States. It&#8217;s one area I have expertise, hence this series of article. I&#8217;m not worried about any &#8220;swing states&#8221; but perhaps NM and Iowa. And those two will not be enough for BHO to win, especially if McCain takes New Hampshire, and maybe Mich, PA, et al.</p>
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		<title>By: Sakaki</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/seven-states-that-will-decide-the-election/comment-page-2/#comment-94659</link>
		<dc:creator>Sakaki</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 24 Aug 2008 04:56:04 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Incorrect, Ari. Romney will not pick up Michigan for McCain, because people in Michigan do not actually like Romney. 

Romney has more negatives than can be believed. Only Ron Paul had more negatives. The only thing Romney has is the ability to raise money, and alas, he can&#039;t raise any during the three month run-up to the election.

And Palin being inexperienced? Bull. She was the mayor of a medium-sized town in Alaska, dealing with economics and potential issues with Russia. She is the Governor of a state who has a lot of popularity and is a national name in regards to energy issues. 

Ari, you assume a lot about the states of Ohio and Colorado, as well as New Mexico and Michigan. The problem is you cannot assume, otherwise it&#039;ll come back to bite you. We need more than just 271. We need 290-300. The best way to do that is by going with someone who is not going to alienate voters. Romney will alienate voters and will be an albatross. Romney is a complete and utter loser. 

Palin and Pawlenty are the only two that will do anything. And even at that, Palin is BY FAR the better of the two candidates.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Incorrect, Ari. Romney will not pick up Michigan for McCain, because people in Michigan do not actually like Romney. </p>
<p>Romney has more negatives than can be believed. Only Ron Paul had more negatives. The only thing Romney has is the ability to raise money, and alas, he can&#8217;t raise any during the three month run-up to the election.</p>
<p>And Palin being inexperienced? Bull. She was the mayor of a medium-sized town in Alaska, dealing with economics and potential issues with Russia. She is the Governor of a state who has a lot of popularity and is a national name in regards to energy issues. </p>
<p>Ari, you assume a lot about the states of Ohio and Colorado, as well as New Mexico and Michigan. The problem is you cannot assume, otherwise it&#8217;ll come back to bite you. We need more than just 271. We need 290-300. The best way to do that is by going with someone who is not going to alienate voters. Romney will alienate voters and will be an albatross. Romney is a complete and utter loser. </p>
<p>Palin and Pawlenty are the only two that will do anything. And even at that, Palin is BY FAR the better of the two candidates.</p>
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		<title>By: Ari</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/seven-states-that-will-decide-the-election/comment-page-2/#comment-94651</link>
		<dc:creator>Ari</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 24 Aug 2008 03:47:26 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Zebrahead, decent analysis, though you&#039;re far too kind to Obama. I live in Indiana. Bush won here by nearly 30 points and won 89 of 92 counties, even as he was unpopular in 2004. In 2008 here, as Obama is a radical and McCain likable, McCain will roll here. The military presence in the Hoosier State is VERY strong and they deplore Hussein Obama.

McCain also will roll in NC and ALL the south. It&#039;s ridiculous to think otherwise, though the media will lie and say different from their NY, DC and LA perches -- away from America&#039;s heart. Where do you live, might I ask?

The other states, aside from Virginia (only chance BHO had was if he picked Kaine and he did not) are in play, but most favor McCain based upon past history and the uncertainty of Obama.

I think McCain gets at least 34 states, perhaps as many as 38, especially if reliable Dem states like PA, Mich, Minne and Wisc are in play, which they very much are. The Dems blew it big time with this divisive, naive, affirmative action &quot;candidate.&quot;

Mark E, don&#039;t count yard signs. Republicans are mature and don&#039;t wear t-shirt, sport yard signs or stickers. They fall &quot;in line&quot; with their candidates, knowing this is serious business and not a competition for American Idol. Liberals fal &quot;in love&quot; with their candidate. 

Outside of Pittsburgh, I cannot imagine Western PA and &quot;the base&quot; is going to support a man who embraces Black Liberation Theology, has a wife who hates her nation and white folks, has never led anything or accomplished anything, and does not know how many states are in America. Just a guess.


Obama is the most liberal senator in America. Any Republican supporting him should be ashamed and switch parties to the Party of Defeat.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Zebrahead, decent analysis, though you&#8217;re far too kind to Obama. I live in Indiana. Bush won here by nearly 30 points and won 89 of 92 counties, even as he was unpopular in 2004. In 2008 here, as Obama is a radical and McCain likable, McCain will roll here. The military presence in the Hoosier State is VERY strong and they deplore Hussein Obama.</p>
<p>McCain also will roll in NC and ALL the south. It&#8217;s ridiculous to think otherwise, though the media will lie and say different from their NY, DC and LA perches &#8212; away from America&#8217;s heart. Where do you live, might I ask?</p>
<p>The other states, aside from Virginia (only chance BHO had was if he picked Kaine and he did not) are in play, but most favor McCain based upon past history and the uncertainty of Obama.</p>
<p>I think McCain gets at least 34 states, perhaps as many as 38, especially if reliable Dem states like PA, Mich, Minne and Wisc are in play, which they very much are. The Dems blew it big time with this divisive, naive, affirmative action &#8220;candidate.&#8221;</p>
<p>Mark E, don&#8217;t count yard signs. Republicans are mature and don&#8217;t wear t-shirt, sport yard signs or stickers. They fall &#8220;in line&#8221; with their candidates, knowing this is serious business and not a competition for American Idol. Liberals fal &#8220;in love&#8221; with their candidate. </p>
<p>Outside of Pittsburgh, I cannot imagine Western PA and &#8220;the base&#8221; is going to support a man who embraces Black Liberation Theology, has a wife who hates her nation and white folks, has never led anything or accomplished anything, and does not know how many states are in America. Just a guess.</p>
<p>Obama is the most liberal senator in America. Any Republican supporting him should be ashamed and switch parties to the Party of Defeat.</p>
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		<title>By: Mark E</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/seven-states-that-will-decide-the-election/comment-page-2/#comment-94601</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark E</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Aug 2008 23:37:41 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>If the Mc-amnesty Rino party leadership really thinks that PA is &#039;in play&#039;, they may want to actually talk to the rank &amp; file here.

The base is still steamed about the party support of Spector and lack of support of Santorum.  People want the immigration laws enforced an drilling started now.

My unofficial count of bumper stickers &amp; yard signs is going 200+ Obama for every 1 for McCain in the Republican areas Western PA.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If the Mc-amnesty Rino party leadership really thinks that PA is &#8216;in play&#8217;, they may want to actually talk to the rank &amp; file here.</p>
<p>The base is still steamed about the party support of Spector and lack of support of Santorum.  People want the immigration laws enforced an drilling started now.</p>
<p>My unofficial count of bumper stickers &amp; yard signs is going 200+ Obama for every 1 for McCain in the Republican areas Western PA.</p>
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		<title>By: zebrahead</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/seven-states-that-will-decide-the-election/comment-page-2/#comment-94536</link>
		<dc:creator>zebrahead</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Aug 2008 19:33:51 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I don’t think the national polls mean very much right now so I look at things state-by-state.

I have developed my own list of seven states that I feel are crucial to McCain’s chances. I think McCain MUST win the first five and he’ll need to win at least one of the last two. Here the list:

Florida
Ohio
Virginia
Colorado
Missouri
Nevada
New Hampshire


There are many other states that are expected to be competitive.  Iowa and New Mexico I anticipate will go to Obama unless he completely falls apart. Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are possibilities for McCain but haven&#039;t shown him ahead in any polling. Obama will make a push to flip Indiana and North Carolina but he currently trails McCain in both states.  McCain can win this thing if he wins Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Missouri, and either Nevada or New Hampshire, assuming the only states that flip to Obama are Iowa and New Mexico.  It is a difficult but far from impossible task.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don’t think the national polls mean very much right now so I look at things state-by-state.</p>
<p>I have developed my own list of seven states that I feel are crucial to McCain’s chances. I think McCain MUST win the first five and he’ll need to win at least one of the last two. Here the list:</p>
<p>Florida<br />
Ohio<br />
Virginia<br />
Colorado<br />
Missouri<br />
Nevada<br />
New Hampshire</p>
<p>There are many other states that are expected to be competitive.  Iowa and New Mexico I anticipate will go to Obama unless he completely falls apart. Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are possibilities for McCain but haven&#8217;t shown him ahead in any polling. Obama will make a push to flip Indiana and North Carolina but he currently trails McCain in both states.  McCain can win this thing if he wins Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Missouri, and either Nevada or New Hampshire, assuming the only states that flip to Obama are Iowa and New Mexico.  It is a difficult but far from impossible task.</p>
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