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The Endless Odyssey of Clinton and Obama

The trials of Odysseus were nothing compared to the exhausting journey Democrats have endured.

May 20, 2008 - by Rick Moran

Now I know how Odysseus felt, wandering the seas for 10 long years following the Trojan War before being allowed by the Gods to return to his wife and son. This campaign has been an Odyssey and a half – a brutal, exhausting journey where the candidates have run into obstacle after obstacle, fought to overcome, and continued on this endless voyage to that mythical land called “Denver” where they will be welcomed with open arms by their political family.

If you recall your reading from the Penguin Classic (or perhaps you read the Marvel Comic edition long ago) you know that Odysseus was something of a scamp, always challenging the Gods and trying to outsmart them. In the Democratic campaign, we don’t have Athena or Poseidon but rather Superdelegates who may believe themselves godlike but leave a lot to be desired in that department. Both Obama and Clinton have been spinning the results of the primaries the last few weeks, desperately trying to make their case to the Supers by any means necessary – even if it means aping Odysseus by fudging the truth a little in order to get home.

For instance, Hillary Clinton swears she’s ahead in the “popular vote.” Sounds great until you remember that the 17 states that determined delegates by caucus didn’t even bother to count individual votes.

Not to be deterred, Clinton tried to make a case out of the electoral vote count in the states she won. She claims that she’s ahead in that mythical department, hoping the media and Superdelegates would buy into it.

It was like Odysseus bargaining with the cyclops Polyphemus. In the end, the one-eyed monster agreed to eat our hero last – something similar to what Hillary will have to settle for when all the primaries are over.

In her victory speech in Kentucky (where she whupped Obama by a 2-1 margin), Hillary played the enchantress Circe, casting a spell on the crowd and giving them hope that all was not lost:

If the battle for the Democratic presidential nomination is almost over, Clinton isn’t acting like it.

“I’m going to make [my case] until we have a nominee, but we’re not going to have one today, and we’re not going to have one tomorrow, and we’re not going to have one the next day,” Clinton said Monday in Kentucky.

She argues that she leads in the popular vote. “Right now, more people have voted for me than have voted for my opponent,” she said. “More people have voted for me than for anybody ever running for president before. So we have a very close contest.”

But her argument is debatable. For Clinton to claim such a lead, primary states but not caucus states — which Obama mostly won — would only be counted, plus the popular vote totals in Florida and Michigan.

Circe ended up turning Odysseus’s men into pigs – something I’m sure Hillary wishes she could do to a few Obama delegates when no one is watching.

Obama’s equally impressive victory in Oregon combined with his modest delegate haul from Kentucky has allowed him to make an equally bogus claim on the status of the campaign as Hillary’s imaginary metrics; the Great One now has a majority of “pledged delegates.” These are delegates chosen via primary, caucus, and state convention. Having a majority of them is a fine thing but doesn’t mean squat in the larger scheme of things. Obama needs (not counting Michigan and Florida’s lost souls) 2026 delegates of all stripes to cast their vote for him on the first ballot in Denver.

Nevertheless, Obama’s speech, which he chose to deliver in Iowa, was as close to an acceptance speech as you can get without actually claiming the prize. It was like Obama could hear the Siren’s song of victory but realized it would be death if he gave in and followed it. But he allowed himself the luxury of retrospection and a proud moment of sharing with his audience how far they had come since those cold and lonely days so many months ago in Iowa:

“Tonight, in the fullness of spring, with the help of those who stood up from Portland to Louisville, we have returned to Iowa with a majority of delegates elected by the American people and you have put us within reach of the Democratic nomination for president of the United States of America,” he said.

And sounding even more the nominee, he congratulated Clinton and praised her to the skies:

Obama paid tribute to Hillary Rodham Clinton, who coasted to an overwhelming victory in the Kentucky primary Tuesday. But the tenor of his speech left little doubt that he has put the lengthy and hard fought contest against her behind him.

The road here has been long and that is partly because we’ve traveled it with one of the most formidable candidates to ever run for the office,” he said, speaking of the senator from New York and congratulating her on her Kentucky victory.

One could sense how badly Obama wants this to be over. After praising Hillary, he laid into GOP nominee John McCain by saying that in contrast to the Democratic nominating process, the Republicans tried to “out-Bush” one another – a contest Obama says McCain won.

Referring to his idea of “new politics,” Obama tried to pre-empt GOP attacks on his problematic associations with Jeremiah Wright, William Ayers, and Tony Rezko by saying that Republicans would try and “distract” voters from the issues. Distractions or not, Republicans will hammer Obama on his dalliances with radical politics and his association with the corrupt Chicago political machine.

But first, Obama has to sail his ship home without capsizing Hillary Clinton’s craft. Fully 32% of Kentucky Democrats say they will vote for John McCain in the general election instead of Obama. That number has been climbing the last 6 weeks as Hillary continues to hammer Obama on his electability. Whether by design or not, Clinton’s attacks have resulted in a lot of Democrats preparing to abandon the party on election day and vote Republican.

So Obama needs Hillary Clinton to help him out. If, as most observers expect, Obama crosses the magic threshold of 2025 delegates sometime in June, a quick and graceful exit by Clinton would give the party time to put itself back together after this bruising and divisive contest.

But if Hillary Clinton refuses and plans on taking her case for the nomination all the way to the convention floor, I would suggest you pop some extra popcorn and lay in another 12 pack of Bud. It will be gruesome. It will be bloody. It will be hugely entertaining. And there’s liable to be hard feelings that persist for years.

When Odysseus made it home, he disguised himself as a beggar so that his wife, who was entertaining dozens of suitors, wouldn’t recognize him. In the end, he killed all the suitors and made up with his wife. There was a lot of blood on the palace floors but everything worked out for the best in the end.

Democrats might hope that their own legendary battle ends so well.

Rick Moran is PJM Chicago editor; his own blog is Right Wing Nut House.

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17 Comments

1. Zelig:

Well said. But I think this is not quite precise:
“Obama’s equally impressive victory in Oregon….” Hillary did nearly ten points better in KY than Barack did in OR.

May 20, 2008 - 11:13 pm 2. Roy Mustang:

Obama won the Texas Caucus by about 10. Clinton won the Texas Primary by about 4. I think the other caucuses would display a similar pattern.

May 21, 2008 - 1:45 am 3. SAF:

I believe in the end of the day Hillary will behave, the payoff will be the DNC and Obama will somehow payoff her huge campaign debt which is already in the $40M range and no doubt climbing. She will then campaign for Obama. Her deep seeded hope, in my opinion, is that she can campaign hard for him and look like a team player yet all the while hoping the damage she did before the truce was enough to make him loose.

I believe the polls showing large numbers of democrats deserting to McCain reflect momentary anger of people not getting their way and trying to sway others into voting for Hillary. This will fade by November.

Obama has lots going for him as a candidate, the adoring press and the new dems he has brought to the table. I think he won’t be a good president but he has a good shot of being elected.

May 21, 2008 - 4:21 am 4. tehag:

Of course Clinton won in the south. Dixiecrats rely on a southern strategy.

May 21, 2008 - 4:28 am 5. MarkJ:

When Odysseus made it home, he disguised himself as a beggar so that his wife, who was entertaining dozens of suitors, wouldn’t recognize him. In the end, he killed all the suitors and made up with his wife. There was a lot of blood on the palace floors but everything worked out for the best in the end.

Nice, but, according to the most popular account of Odysseus’ death, he and Circe have an affair. The result is Odysseus’ illegitimate son, Telegonus, who eventually grows up, travels to Ithaca, and…kills Odysseus, his father, in battle.

Seems kind of appropriate to me…..

May 21, 2008 - 5:13 am 6. Peter:

The Clintons claim sexism cost her the nomination but racism is what caused Obama’s West Virginia and Kentucky large loss. Hillary chooses to ignore this problem because it helps her win. Hillary Clinton is a embarrassment to our progress in racial equality and has no right to be president.

May 21, 2008 - 5:32 am 7. TomJW:

Odysseus, “.. a man who was never at a lose…” for what to do in any situation.
Hillary wasn’t like that in the beginning of the campaign, but seems to be stepping up to it. The Dems and MSM are little agressive to her, but she would have needed to step it up again for the real campaign after the convention.
Barry seems like a man who is always at a lose of what to do when he gets off the teleprompter.
Wow, someone else remembers the cyclops’s name, I thought I was the the rare geek for that.
Finally, I had hoped there would be blood on the Dem convention floor. It is shaping up to be resolved sooner though. *Sniff*

May 21, 2008 - 5:50 am 8. John Samford:

“Obama won the Texas Caucus by about 10. Clinton won the Texas Primary by about 4. I think the other caucuses would display a similar pattern.”

It will be interesting to see if Shrillery cjallenges those Texas cacus delegates.
What the MSM won’t tell you is that right now, both candidates are tied. They have ZERO delegates. Nobody has ANY delegates until the RBC meets and ’seats’ the delegates. Delegates can be challenged.
That is why Billerey isn’t cutting and running. Billery has read the rule book and understands how the process works. Ohhhh…..BAMA has one chance, which is to win on the first ballot. He understands that , which is why he has spent the last month trying to trick/force Billery into cutting and running. Ain’t gonna happen.
I don’t like Shrillery and see her as the worst sort of lying, cheatin, scumbag politician, but I will admit she has a pair. BIGGG BRASS ones.

Boycott the MSM!

May 21, 2008 - 6:01 am 9. richard:

Why not Obama withdraw and put his full weight behind Clinton for the good of the Democrat cause?

May 21, 2008 - 6:04 am 10. Lawless38:

Why not Obama withdraw? heheheh…. Do frontrunners ever withdraw? In politics? In sports? How often does that happen? I’m for someone withdrawing so we can start focusing on McCain, but it wouldn’t make sense for a frontrunner to withdraw?

May 21, 2008 - 9:43 am 11. Howard:

I am one of the 17 million democrats who wants Hillary Clinton to win the nomination … and, like millions of other Clinton supporters, who have been neglected and disrespected by the media, I will vote for John McCain if Obama gets the nomination. I also hope that my fellow Clinton supporters will vote the super delegates who abandoned Mrs. Clinton out of office when their reelections come up. http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/01/superdelegate-list.html

May 21, 2008 - 11:52 am 12. Teri Pittman:

Why, oh why is it racism if people don’t want to vote for Obama? It’s quite possible that maybe they just don’t like his thin resume. I’d be willing to bet you Colin Powell would get a lot of votes from those folks you are calling racist. And why is it not racism when 90% of black voters seem to vote for Obama based on the color of his skin?

As for the contest, Hillary wins a state by 30-40% and is told she should get out. Obama wins by a projected 15-16% and somehow that is a great victory. I just don’t get the spin.

May 21, 2008 - 1:44 pm 13. DO:

Of the 17 states that conducted caucuses, 13 DID in fact count individual votes. Of the remaining 4, one (Washington) also conducted a primary election whose results were tabulated. Of the final 3 (Maine, Nevada, Iowa), fair estimates are available which approximate the actual individual vote to within 10,000 or so. Taking all caucus states into account, Hillary does lead in the popular vote.

May 21, 2008 - 3:45 pm 14. John Samford:

A question for Ohhhh…..BAMA supporters.
If Ohhh….BAMA can’t talk Shrillery into giving up on the election, how is he going to talk the Mullahs into giving up their religion?

If he is counting on his glib tongue to talk In5an3 religious fanatics out of building an atomic bomb, he should be able to talk one middle aged woman into taking a summer vacation.
Something is wrong with this picture. I smell a rat.

May 21, 2008 - 11:58 pm 15. Trudy B. Taylor:

crybabies. i remember when no candidate’s nomination was secure prior to the national convention. tsk, tsk.

May 22, 2008 - 6:36 am 16. LCSusan:

“in the fullness of spring” – someone please edit this man’s speeches – that being said, I look forward to a highly entertaining Dem convention along the lines of the marathon 1976 days and then sitting out the general for the first time in my life.

http://strictlyanecdotal.com

May 22, 2008 - 11:03 am 17. Abraham:

In God we trust

May God protect Obama against all wrong

May 24, 2008 - 2:16 am

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