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	<title>Comments on: Wanted: A Space Program with a Vision</title>
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		<title>By: G Alston</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/wanted-a-space-program-with-a-vision/comment-page-1/#comment-187066</link>
		<dc:creator>G Alston</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jan 2009 07:11:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/?p=44133#comment-187066</guid>
		<description>Human vs robot exploration?

http://blog.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/01/moon-magnet.html

Human.

Next week: Ginger vs MaryAnn.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Human vs robot exploration?</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/01/moon-magnet.html" rel="nofollow">http://blog.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/01/moon-magnet.html</a></p>
<p>Human.</p>
<p>Next week: Ginger vs MaryAnn.</p>
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		<title>By: Marc Malone</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/wanted-a-space-program-with-a-vision/comment-page-1/#comment-187048</link>
		<dc:creator>Marc Malone</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jan 2009 05:56:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/?p=44133#comment-187048</guid>
		<description>The article and its responses are all intelligent, but I think everyone is overlooking one vital factor; private enterprise just cannot do it alone.  Government is highly inefficient, but has a huge advantage; it needs not turn a profit.

  However, for government to do the job, they need public support, which generally means good press (read sensationalism).  Otherwise, science makes Americans yawn.  If you make a video game out of controlling the robotics, or doing a launch, or somesuch, then suddenly, Americans get interested.  And yes, we need heroes.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The article and its responses are all intelligent, but I think everyone is overlooking one vital factor; private enterprise just cannot do it alone.  Government is highly inefficient, but has a huge advantage; it needs not turn a profit.</p>
<p>  However, for government to do the job, they need public support, which generally means good press (read sensationalism).  Otherwise, science makes Americans yawn.  If you make a video game out of controlling the robotics, or doing a launch, or somesuch, then suddenly, Americans get interested.  And yes, we need heroes.</p>
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		<title>By: EasyEight</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/wanted-a-space-program-with-a-vision/comment-page-1/#comment-186960</link>
		<dc:creator>EasyEight</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jan 2009 01:26:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/?p=44133#comment-186960</guid>
		<description>The best thing we could do for the future of spaceflight is get NASA out of spaceflight operations. NASA should be working overtime on R&amp;D into next generation reusable space flight systems and technologies to get the private sector into space and help the nation develop something grander and more useful than an Apollo re-tread. NASA did this with aviation back in its NACA days, before it went to the Moon and lost its way. Then it can buy commercial systems, or buy rides to orbit, while continuing spaceflight technology development and deep space research missions.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The best thing we could do for the future of spaceflight is get NASA out of spaceflight operations. NASA should be working overtime on R&amp;D into next generation reusable space flight systems and technologies to get the private sector into space and help the nation develop something grander and more useful than an Apollo re-tread. NASA did this with aviation back in its NACA days, before it went to the Moon and lost its way. Then it can buy commercial systems, or buy rides to orbit, while continuing spaceflight technology development and deep space research missions.</p>
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		<title>By: G Alston</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/wanted-a-space-program-with-a-vision/comment-page-1/#comment-185921</link>
		<dc:creator>G Alston</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Jan 2009 18:13:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/?p=44133#comment-185921</guid>
		<description>#19 cedarford -- &quot;Not true. We, the Russians, and Japanese have craft that fly and dock robotically.&quot;

Indeed. The ISS crew would be hungry sans Progress modules. I have a great video of the Jules Verne docking procedure. Smooth as silk. But as Napoleon was fond of saying, &quot;no battle plan ever survives contact with the enemy.&quot; You can&#039;t count on everything being nominal.

Where humans are needed is where things do not go as planned, e.g. the landing of at least two of the Apollo craft. Docking to an existing structure isn&#039;t the same thing as creating a structure. Not always. Things will go wrong. Waldos will break. It&#039;s nice to have the ability to effect repair if need be. I think as complexity increases, so does the need for oversight. Specifically, this would apply to larger structures like solar power satellites. Especially the first ones.

I think I agree with much of your overall point. Certainly fixing a Hubble is more expensive overall than launching a new one. However, that said, the point was to learn how to do this and demonstrate the ability, which would have cost the same regardless. Mere accounting tricks don&#039;t tell the entire story.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>#19 cedarford &#8212; &#8220;Not true. We, the Russians, and Japanese have craft that fly and dock robotically.&#8221;</p>
<p>Indeed. The ISS crew would be hungry sans Progress modules. I have a great video of the Jules Verne docking procedure. Smooth as silk. But as Napoleon was fond of saying, &#8220;no battle plan ever survives contact with the enemy.&#8221; You can&#8217;t count on everything being nominal.</p>
<p>Where humans are needed is where things do not go as planned, e.g. the landing of at least two of the Apollo craft. Docking to an existing structure isn&#8217;t the same thing as creating a structure. Not always. Things will go wrong. Waldos will break. It&#8217;s nice to have the ability to effect repair if need be. I think as complexity increases, so does the need for oversight. Specifically, this would apply to larger structures like solar power satellites. Especially the first ones.</p>
<p>I think I agree with much of your overall point. Certainly fixing a Hubble is more expensive overall than launching a new one. However, that said, the point was to learn how to do this and demonstrate the ability, which would have cost the same regardless. Mere accounting tricks don&#8217;t tell the entire story.</p>
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		<title>By: cedarford</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/wanted-a-space-program-with-a-vision/comment-page-1/#comment-185670</link>
		<dc:creator>cedarford</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Jan 2009 11:47:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/?p=44133#comment-185670</guid>
		<description>John Moore - &lt;i&gt;A popular vision requires human space flight. Period. End of story. Science will need to tag along for the ride, but it’s the only way to really get somewhere politically.&lt;/i&gt;

Garbage. 

If America needs heroes - it would be cheaper to crank out a few heroes by awarding the Medal of Honor to living soldiers that legitimately did enough to warrant the award. Only dead guys who flopped on a grenade or allowed his unit to be ambushed by Taliban inspire few..

As is, for support - we have a public that knows we get tremendous benefit from unmanned near-Earth orbit satellites. Economic benefits, military benefits, scientific benefits so great that the public has no problem investing in that.

As we transitioned away from hugely expensive manned flight and the discoveries and real exploration are done by robotics....the more literate part of the population has thrilled to Hubble, the Rovers, Chandra, our deep space robots. Part of the reason NASA has not pushed the PR on unmanned to the masses is that much of the management and direction of NASA is dominated by &quot;former Astronauts&quot; who wish to keep manned exploration as the &quot;marquee event&quot; where the bulk of the resources go with very little public, commercial economic, or scientific benefit.
(Just as if you asked a bunch of helicopter pilots to design and run a future Army, you could be pretty sure what that Army would look like....)

***********
G Alston - &lt;i&gt; We now *know* how to build big stuff in space and make it run. We’ve done it. Sorry robot fans. Humans are needed for these things, and space is acually useful. It’s a matter of applying technology; i.e. it’s now about engineering.&lt;/i&gt;

Not true. We, the Russians, and Japanese have craft that fly and dock robotically. Robots that have done repairs - simple stuff autonomously, more complicated tasks under the direction, even waldo-ing, of a ground controller. We can build big stuff if we want using only robots. Lack of human workers is not an impediment in space. If something breaks, a human might, just might be able to improvise a fix on certain components in less time than it takes to design and launch a robot...but not as cheaply.
Even the ballyhooed Hubble repairs that &quot;vindicate&quot; the usefullness of men is space, turn out when you factor in the shuttle and manpower costs as well as replacement components - to be more expensive than building and launching a better Hubble.

The Mars manned expedition? Even humans on the moon when so many unresolved life support issues exist to enable a stay longer than a few days? 
We have gotten more science about Mars already from orbiters and ground probes - for one 500th the cost - than a manned expedition could ever deliver. 
Even in the future a few Martian sample return rockets, complete with excavating, sample collecting rovers, a core driller - and with a return payload of 500lbs - would have a cost of under 25 billion for 3 locales mined and samples returned vs. 1.3 -1.4 trillion for two astronauts to plant a flag, make a speech, and return with the same goodies from one spot.
 One bennie of Mars is it&#039;s low escape velocity means a very small rocket could do the job. 
Of course, it would be even cheaper to examine stuff &lt;i&gt;in situ&lt;/i&gt; and not bring it back. Even microbes if they ever find any.   

**************
&lt;i&gt;myth buster:
 Here’s a good reason to go back to the Moon: Helium-3, which costs $23,000/ounce, is abundant on the Moon, though it is scarce on Earth. It is an ideal fuel for nuclear fusion, because it creates no neutron flux. That’s why we should go back. We mine Helium-3 and sell it.&lt;/i&gt;

We haven&#039;t even figured out how to make deuterium-tritium fusion work with energy breakeven, let alone even begin to consider the far higher temp and confinement time needed for HE-3 fusion - which is best explained as 5 times more difficult in terms of temperature and confinment power/time, with far less margin to energy breakeven.

The reason it is mentioned is the &quot;magic, ideal solution&quot; to anti-nuke, anti-any radiation people that want the perfect energy solution. 

D-T requires a nuke reactor to make tritium and then you have that dastardly fusion neutron that can make new uranium fuel, thorium fuel - fission some U-238 or make steel and other fusion reactor components radioactive. All things anti-nuke folks just hate.
The only reason it costs 23,000 a - gram I believe, not ounce...is that it is scarce and only valuable to scientists doing experiments.

 Boost the supply with billions put into space mining and if fusion is still not deemed practical with HE-3 or any other high-value use, all you end up with are happy scientists paying a heck of a lot less for their nuclear and cryogenic experiments.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John Moore &#8211; <i>A popular vision requires human space flight. Period. End of story. Science will need to tag along for the ride, but it’s the only way to really get somewhere politically.</i></p>
<p>Garbage. </p>
<p>If America needs heroes &#8211; it would be cheaper to crank out a few heroes by awarding the Medal of Honor to living soldiers that legitimately did enough to warrant the award. Only dead guys who flopped on a grenade or allowed his unit to be ambushed by Taliban inspire few..</p>
<p>As is, for support &#8211; we have a public that knows we get tremendous benefit from unmanned near-Earth orbit satellites. Economic benefits, military benefits, scientific benefits so great that the public has no problem investing in that.</p>
<p>As we transitioned away from hugely expensive manned flight and the discoveries and real exploration are done by robotics&#8230;.the more literate part of the population has thrilled to Hubble, the Rovers, Chandra, our deep space robots. Part of the reason NASA has not pushed the PR on unmanned to the masses is that much of the management and direction of NASA is dominated by &#8220;former Astronauts&#8221; who wish to keep manned exploration as the &#8220;marquee event&#8221; where the bulk of the resources go with very little public, commercial economic, or scientific benefit.<br />
(Just as if you asked a bunch of helicopter pilots to design and run a future Army, you could be pretty sure what that Army would look like&#8230;.)</p>
<p>***********<br />
G Alston &#8211; <i> We now *know* how to build big stuff in space and make it run. We’ve done it. Sorry robot fans. Humans are needed for these things, and space is acually useful. It’s a matter of applying technology; i.e. it’s now about engineering.</i></p>
<p>Not true. We, the Russians, and Japanese have craft that fly and dock robotically. Robots that have done repairs &#8211; simple stuff autonomously, more complicated tasks under the direction, even waldo-ing, of a ground controller. We can build big stuff if we want using only robots. Lack of human workers is not an impediment in space. If something breaks, a human might, just might be able to improvise a fix on certain components in less time than it takes to design and launch a robot&#8230;but not as cheaply.<br />
Even the ballyhooed Hubble repairs that &#8220;vindicate&#8221; the usefullness of men is space, turn out when you factor in the shuttle and manpower costs as well as replacement components &#8211; to be more expensive than building and launching a better Hubble.</p>
<p>The Mars manned expedition? Even humans on the moon when so many unresolved life support issues exist to enable a stay longer than a few days?<br />
We have gotten more science about Mars already from orbiters and ground probes &#8211; for one 500th the cost &#8211; than a manned expedition could ever deliver.<br />
Even in the future a few Martian sample return rockets, complete with excavating, sample collecting rovers, a core driller &#8211; and with a return payload of 500lbs &#8211; would have a cost of under 25 billion for 3 locales mined and samples returned vs. 1.3 -1.4 trillion for two astronauts to plant a flag, make a speech, and return with the same goodies from one spot.<br />
 One bennie of Mars is it&#8217;s low escape velocity means a very small rocket could do the job.<br />
Of course, it would be even cheaper to examine stuff <i>in situ</i> and not bring it back. Even microbes if they ever find any.   </p>
<p>**************<br />
<i>myth buster:<br />
 Here’s a good reason to go back to the Moon: Helium-3, which costs $23,000/ounce, is abundant on the Moon, though it is scarce on Earth. It is an ideal fuel for nuclear fusion, because it creates no neutron flux. That’s why we should go back. We mine Helium-3 and sell it.</i></p>
<p>We haven&#8217;t even figured out how to make deuterium-tritium fusion work with energy breakeven, let alone even begin to consider the far higher temp and confinement time needed for HE-3 fusion &#8211; which is best explained as 5 times more difficult in terms of temperature and confinment power/time, with far less margin to energy breakeven.</p>
<p>The reason it is mentioned is the &#8220;magic, ideal solution&#8221; to anti-nuke, anti-any radiation people that want the perfect energy solution. </p>
<p>D-T requires a nuke reactor to make tritium and then you have that dastardly fusion neutron that can make new uranium fuel, thorium fuel &#8211; fission some U-238 or make steel and other fusion reactor components radioactive. All things anti-nuke folks just hate.<br />
The only reason it costs 23,000 a &#8211; gram I believe, not ounce&#8230;is that it is scarce and only valuable to scientists doing experiments.</p>
<p> Boost the supply with billions put into space mining and if fusion is still not deemed practical with HE-3 or any other high-value use, all you end up with are happy scientists paying a heck of a lot less for their nuclear and cryogenic experiments.</p>
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		<title>By: Andrew</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/wanted-a-space-program-with-a-vision/comment-page-1/#comment-185415</link>
		<dc:creator>Andrew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jan 2009 22:08:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/?p=44133#comment-185415</guid>
		<description>NASA spends $18 billion a year to literally fly around in circles for no reason, with no tangible end product.  It is a perpetual pork barrel project that mainly benefits Houston and Cape Canaveral.  Somehow, NASA gets the credit for inventing a lot of things (like Tang, transistors, Teflon and Velcro) with which it had no connection.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>NASA spends $18 billion a year to literally fly around in circles for no reason, with no tangible end product.  It is a perpetual pork barrel project that mainly benefits Houston and Cape Canaveral.  Somehow, NASA gets the credit for inventing a lot of things (like Tang, transistors, Teflon and Velcro) with which it had no connection.</p>
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		<title>By: Philip Wittamore</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/wanted-a-space-program-with-a-vision/comment-page-1/#comment-185368</link>
		<dc:creator>Philip Wittamore</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jan 2009 21:13:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/?p=44133#comment-185368</guid>
		<description>It looks like some of the people that work at NASA actually do have a space program with a vision: http://www.directlauncher.com/</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It looks like some of the people that work at NASA actually do have a space program with a vision: <a href="http://www.directlauncher.com/" rel="nofollow">http://www.directlauncher.com/</a></p>
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		<title>By: G Alston</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/wanted-a-space-program-with-a-vision/comment-page-1/#comment-185213</link>
		<dc:creator>G Alston</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jan 2009 18:32:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/?p=44133#comment-185213</guid>
		<description>We can solve a number of problems right here and right now thanks to NASA. Solar power generation from space can be done. We know how to do this. It&#039;s a matter of doing it. But to do this we had to solve a number of smaller problems, i.e. getting the stuff in place, assembling large structures, and so on. The shuttle and ISS were the learning grounds. We now *know* how to build big stuff in space and make it run. We&#039;ve done it. Sorry robot fans. Humans are needed for these things, and space is acually useful. It&#039;s a matter of applying technology; i.e. it&#039;s now about engineering.

ALmost everything we take for granted in the modern world was generated by NASA and military needs -- computers, the internet, all of it. Robotic explorers. Robotic aircraft. Fuel efficient aircraft using new materials. GPS. Funding NASA is one of the few sane things that we spend money on in this country.

And I say this despite my conviction that NASA is a money sucking black hole like any other agency. At least this black hole gives something back. If it were up to me I&#039;d fund them at about 50x what they now get. By my calculation NASA returns about $10 for every $1 invested.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We can solve a number of problems right here and right now thanks to NASA. Solar power generation from space can be done. We know how to do this. It&#8217;s a matter of doing it. But to do this we had to solve a number of smaller problems, i.e. getting the stuff in place, assembling large structures, and so on. The shuttle and ISS were the learning grounds. We now *know* how to build big stuff in space and make it run. We&#8217;ve done it. Sorry robot fans. Humans are needed for these things, and space is acually useful. It&#8217;s a matter of applying technology; i.e. it&#8217;s now about engineering.</p>
<p>ALmost everything we take for granted in the modern world was generated by NASA and military needs &#8212; computers, the internet, all of it. Robotic explorers. Robotic aircraft. Fuel efficient aircraft using new materials. GPS. Funding NASA is one of the few sane things that we spend money on in this country.</p>
<p>And I say this despite my conviction that NASA is a money sucking black hole like any other agency. At least this black hole gives something back. If it were up to me I&#8217;d fund them at about 50x what they now get. By my calculation NASA returns about $10 for every $1 invested.</p>
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		<title>By: njcommuter</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/wanted-a-space-program-with-a-vision/comment-page-1/#comment-185075</link>
		<dc:creator>njcommuter</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jan 2009 15:55:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/?p=44133#comment-185075</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Having vision&lt;/i&gt; means reaching for goals that other people don&#039;t value.  It means taking risks that others will not take.  It means spending time, effort, and money that others will not spend.  And each of these will be contested by people with good intentions and good values.

&quot;Vision&quot; is most easily maintained in small communities without outside interference.  One definition of Congress is &quot;outside interference.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Having vision</i> means reaching for goals that other people don&#8217;t value.  It means taking risks that others will not take.  It means spending time, effort, and money that others will not spend.  And each of these will be contested by people with good intentions and good values.</p>
<p>&#8220;Vision&#8221; is most easily maintained in small communities without outside interference.  One definition of Congress is &#8220;outside interference.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: riff_raff</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/wanted-a-space-program-with-a-vision/comment-page-1/#comment-184991</link>
		<dc:creator>riff_raff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jan 2009 14:26:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/?p=44133#comment-184991</guid>
		<description>NASA:  Space-based socialism.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>NASA:  Space-based socialism.</p>
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