The Rosett Report

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Writing in Wednesday’s Wall Street Journal, Soviet Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov proposes a new world order in which Russia and America, envisioned here as two equally great powers, carve out spheres of influence while rolling right over any democratic pipsqueaks who get in the way –or at least who get in Russia’s way. Under the headline ”America Must Choose Between Georgia and Russia,” Lavrov suggests that “An embargo on arms supplies to the current Tbilisi regime would be a start.”

In menacing tones, Lavrov warns of “the cost of the choice being made in Washington in favor of the discredited regime in Tbilisi.” Lavrov also dangles the bait that “Russia is committed to the ongoing positive development of relations with the U.S.” Implying a world in which Russia and America reign as co-regents, in chiding manner that comes close to parody of some of Condi Rice’s recent diplomatic locutions, Lavrov says:

“It is up to the American side to decide whether it wants a relationship with Russia that our two peoples deserve. The geopolitical reality we’ll have to deal with at the end of the day will inevitably force us to cooperate.”

… Perhaps, Mr. Lavrov. But on what terms? Lavrov’s proposal to Americans carries eerie echoes of the 1939 Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, a non-aggression deal hammered out on the eve of World War II between the “High Contracting Parties” of Hitler’s Nazi Germany and Stalin’s Soviet Union. The pact included a secret additional protocol, carving up spheres of influence, interest and territory in the Baltics, Scandinavia and Eastern Europe. Regarding Poland, in particular, the text noted: “The question of whether the interests of both parties make desirable the maintenance of an independent Polish States, and how such a state can a state can be bounded can only be definitely determined in the course of future political developments.”

The Molotov-Ribbentrop pact disintegrated in June, 1941, when Nazi Germany invaded the USSR in Operation Barbarossa. Today’s Russia has far less to fear from a democratic United States, which has no territorial designs on Russia, and has been looking to democratic evolution of other states as the best bet for a safer, more peaceful world. America, by the same token, has more to fear, in terms of threats all too likely to be incubated under the spreading shadow of an autocratic and bullying Russia. The world has yet to recover from the corrosive effects of Soviet hegemony in the last century, from which this not-so-new Russian KGB-FSB brand of order is now sprouting. 

If America goes for this bait, swallows this Russian manifesto of the new world order, and hands over Georgia on a plate — with Ukraine, Moldova, and other former Soviet satellites and dominions to follow – we are in for a century even more brutal than that presaged by Sept. 11, 2001. Russia and America have a shared interest in thwarting the spread of Islamist jihad. But for America under the banner of that shared interest to collaborate in the resurrection of a predatory, despotic Russian empire would be to invite not a safer world, but a proliferation of threats.

It would be comforting to assume that Washington understands this, and will treat Lavrov’s article not as an invitation, but as a window on the disturbing political evolution going on inside Russia. These are sinister enticements the Kremlin now offers. Surely the American electorate knows better? This is a test of nerve, resolve, wisdom and basic decency. It will cost America dearly if we fail.  

    

   

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6 Comments

1. Edward Naut:

Who are we suppose to be in this historical analogy? Not the Soviets so that only leaves the Germans. Even at our worst we are not Nazis. The history I would of referenced would have been Munich. The BBC just reported that we have signed a missile defence pact with Poland so I guess Russia will have to stand in for both the murderous Soviets and the genocidal Nazis. “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme.” Mark Twain.

Aug 20, 2008 - 3:26 am 2. srlucado:

“It will cost America dearly if we fail.”

Not just America, to be sure.

Do we and our allies have the nerve to stand up to the Russians? The Russians have already shown that they’re impervious to rhetoric, and let’s face it, you take away rhetoric and the West (Europe especially) isn’t left with a whole lot.

It’s clear that the US can’t go this alone if we’re talking about actual armed confrontation, but are Germany, France & Co. willing to redirect their budgets from butter to guns? Or will they splutter as Tsar Vlad fattens up on smaller democracies?

Scary times ahead.

Aug 20, 2008 - 7:11 pm 3. mojo:

It’s been done, sorta.

Jerry Pournelle, “The Co-Dominium”

Aug 21, 2008 - 12:19 pm 4. j green:

When a purported “superpower” has no option but to point a gun at another superpower’s head and demand of him that he be acknowledged as a superpower, this means the purported “superpower” is still only a thug.

And what a rush these Russians are in for this acknowledgment. They think just this one action in Georgia makes them a superpower and, suddenly, the U.S. should be ready to surrender.

This is the liberal’s fault. If they hadn’t kept making us go to the U.N. a thousand times more than necessary to kneel before the Russians and beg them not to wield their veto, their heads wouldn’t have gotten so big. They FEEL like a superpower, and they forget that it was us who saved their economy and their currency after the collapse of their empire.

Aug 21, 2008 - 3:41 pm 5. Steynian 228 « Free Mark Steyn!:

[...] RUSSIA PROPOSES a New Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact …. [...]

Aug 21, 2008 - 4:55 pm 6. harmonicminer » Israel tries appeasing Russia, too: fruitlessly, of course:

[...] The question is not, “What kind of risks are we willing to accept to defend Georgia’s sovereignty?” The question is, “What are we willing to do to stop Russia from retaking former territory of the Soviet Union, and getting a stranglehold on crucial oil pipelines? What are we willing to do to make sure Russia does not believe another Cold War is to its advantage?“ [...]

Aug 22, 2008 - 9:31 am

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