All polls are good for are trend lines. At this stage in an election cycle, what counts are demographics.
Polling is a subset of statistics and a dubious subset at that. Stats are based on randomness, which works well for molecules, but NOT for people.
There is very little random about humans. Your basic random poll isn’t random. It’s biased toward those that have land lines and the time and interest to talk over them. By the time you factor in those that lie and the slanted questions, there is very little in a poll doesn’t affect the standard error;

http://changingminds.org/explanations/research/statistics/statistics.htm

Polls are useless for results, but excellent for trends, since the errors tend to not affect trend lines.
Right now, Demographics are against BHO. He just doesn’t have enough groups (voting blocks) or the right combination of groups.
He is trying to do something about that, since him and his advisers are very aware of the basics of political science as practiced in a media driven voting population.
Right now the trend lines show Obama on a downward slope. My best guess would be that as he attempts to swap his voting blocks, he is facing resistance from both sides of the swap.
If he is successful in trading blocks, then he will win a narrow victory, If he isn’t, then we will see another Mondale type election.
Assuming, of course that Billery doesn’t strike at the Convention. That will depend on the trend lines. Going from 10+ ahead to a few points behind during July is not the sort of thing that makes a super delegate feel comfortable. BHO seems to have bought the votes of the Supers, or at least enough of them to get him over the top. Nothing illegal about that, since a Political Party is protected by the 1st amendment, but it does bring up the point that what was sold once can be sold again. Billery has a next door neighbor named Soros. Suppose she drops by to borrow a cup of sugar and a hundred mill or so? Then she has the funds to buy as many Super delegates as it takes. Isn’t that what markets are all about anyway?
The nomination is NOT a done deal yet, even if the Obamanics are pretending it is. Not ’til the balloons drop.

If it gets them off the couch, maybe it can’t be all bad. Might be the first work experience many of them ever had.

Up to snuff as ever.

Commenters still very interesting. And lively.

In fact I’m going to post a bit on this topic over at Classical Values – keeping it in the family.

And I still maintain Power and Control which I started when you first required registration.

All good my friend. Keep it up.

===

As to kids. Mine are very libertarian oriented and love the USA. (ages 16, 21, 22, and 25) One is a U. Chicago graduate – who remained uninfected despite a liberal arts education, with honors I might add.

BTW come the revolution I’m ready. I know one or two useful things.

However, more likely, it would be a ginned-up Peace Corps, creating jobs to funnel government funds to chronically unemployed (but over-educated) Obama volunteers. They’d probably be into planting trees and sorting through people’s garbage cans to recycle plastics — that sort of kumbaya save the world eco-green bullshit.

Whining about a mythical ’stifling of dissent’ — prominently, in global media they largely control — while advocating ‘hate speech’ provisions, star chambers like the Canadian Human Rights Commissions and the ‘Fairness Doctrine’.

Accusing opponents of ’shredding the Constitution’ while they assualt the first and second amendments, and while activist judges make law by fiat.

Talking about equality, tolerance and ’social justice’ while Balkanizing society into ethnic, racial and gender-based grievance groups, complete with a hierarchy of moral worth, special pleading and entitlements, and relative merit before the eyes of the law.

Indeed, as a rule, the Left’s loudest complaints are a good indication of what sort of behavior it is engaging in.

I read about the same comment made by Obonga. He really thinks he can mobilize most of the nation’s youth to be a counterbalance to the military and to veterans like us? Honestly, I don’t want things to get to an internal civil war of Americans against each other again. But, if the Left wants to take measures to form some sort of Brownshirt Brigades, and we do have an internal rebellion, the Left will go down HARD. My experience of Leftists is that they have abysmal military instincts and skills. In this country it’s just not a part of their psychological makeup. Germany and Russia had deeply embedded military cultures and traditions that were generally statist in their inclinations, so co-opting the German officers or Russian officers was not that hard a sell. So, in those two countries it was a different outcome. But in the United States the military, its veterans, and its supporters are strongly anti-Left. Most civilian groups who practice with weapons are Center-Right. In a shooting war, the Left would not have a prayer. Most of the military would come over to our side, and probably most of law enforcement too. If there’s a Constitutional and dire national crisis, we can do the right thing and bring the Leftist elites and leaders right up the steps of the gallows.

But if at all possible we don’t want to get to that point. Some way has to be found to attack the credibility of the alliance of Marxists, soft Left, and the Muslims. Right now, you are right. People are not connecting the dots because they have some serious emotional problems and intellectual dishonesty. Michael Savage really is right: Liberalism is a mental disorder.

“I just today came across perhaps the most frightening O quote yet (HT to Roger Kimball’s blog on Pajamas): We cannot continue to rely on our military in order to achieve the national security objectives we’ve set. We’ve got to have a civilian national security force that’s just as powerful, just as strong, just as well-funded. How can that not have you sweating with dread? Think on what he said! A “civilian security force”?? What on earth is that? The Stasi?”

How about the Schutzstaffel (SS), Sturmabteilung (SA) or Praetorian Guard?

They’ll have their own special uniform covered with American flags and swear an oath of loyalty to President B. Hussein.

A demagogue having his own personal army is a concept as old as Lucius Cornelius Sulla. It’s standard operating procedure for seizing power.

I was previously so frightened of B. Hussein that I couldn’t think straight. Now, I think I’ll crawl under the desk, assume the fetal position and start whimpering.

On the topic of what might happen, how fast, etc., I just today came across perhaps the most frightening O quote yet (HT to Roger Kimball’s blog on Pajamas): We cannot continue to rely on our military in order to achieve the national security objectives we’ve set. We’ve got to have a civilian national security force that’s just as powerful, just as strong, just as well-funded.

How can that not have you sweating with dread? Think on what he said! A “civilian security force”?? What on earth is that? The Stasi? And “just as powerful” as the military? Will they have tanks and jet fighters? And “just as well-funded.” Billions and billions of dollars?

What can it mean? Did he really drop the mask on that comment? The fact that the comment has been scrubed from the printed version of his speech only makes me think more that it’s something he really means.

So Obama is already on record wanting to threaten schools with funding cut offs if they don’t draft everyone 12 and over into “public works” efforts. And now he wants to build a “civilian security force.” I wonder, do those 12 year olds all grow up to be good soldiers in this “civilian” force?

And this is all sweetness and light to O’s followers! It’s Bush, after all, who’s going to bring back the draft. Funny, he seems to be running out of time on that one. Obama is just getting started.

The Left now controls the national narrative. Have you ever checked out what is going on in college history courses? Or high school history courses? Literature and civics? I graduated from high school in 1973, did my three years in the Army afterwards, and then graduated from college in 1982. I can speak a bit about the Left, since I had once been a “fellow traveler.” I don’t recognize at all what is now the fare in our schools. It has changed that much.

My preference, for one bad choice among a lot of bad ones and worse ones, is that we get inoculated from socialism now rather than later. The only thing that makes me regret that choice is the thought of Iran getting nuclear weapons and using them when we have an appeasing socialist in the White House. Millions of people will die, and that is no laughing matter.

I don’t want to comment on other things said in this thread, regarding what could or what will happen. They are all hypotheticals, but my broad description of where we are now and how we got to this point is solidly factual. I know from firsthand experience in academia how deeply burrowed in the Gramscians are and how powerful and far-reaching their influence is. When I was a Jesuit seminarian I was one of those Leftist, academic intellectuals who was seeking an honest way to promote socialism. Obama’s significance is that he is a positioned person who has been on a path for over 25 years. I am including his time in college, since Frank Marshall Davis sent him forth with advice we will never be privy to. We can only surmise what that advice was, given his ideological loyalties.

I think we should be prepared for ANYTHING, but find ways to get around the stranglehold that the media and academia have on the presentation of the national narrative and current events. One of the vexing challenges I experience, and one which I am sure many on this board also experience, is the fact that many people in my life are not emotionally or intellectually disposed towards giving me a fair hearing about these issues of national crisis and how our future should find its way back to the principles contained in the Constitution. There is just so much BDS out there. The atmosphere is poisoned with it. Also, with a couple of relatives I have asserted that Barack Obama is a closet socialist/Marxist and was laughed at and dismissed – without any chance whatsoever of being allowed to bring forth the evidence of this.

The only thing I can conceive of that would bring us back from disaster would be the kind of broad disillusionment the nation experienced before the end of Jimmy Carter’s days in office.