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	<title>Comments on: The next step</title>
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		<title>By: Henry Bowman</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80431</link>
		<dc:creator>Henry Bowman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Jul 2006 17:24:18 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Israel is losing this war, primarily because of the infatuation of the world media with civilian deaths. The United States and other western countries, including Israel, has to seriously re-examine some aspects of international war, if it has any real hope of defeating the terrorists.

Our rules of engagement practices are not designed for asymmetric war, but are designed for wars in which one nation&#039;s army fights another nation&#039;s army. It seems obvious that terrorists quite deliberately do not adhere to such practices. As long as we choose to refrain from involving civilians in the wars, we are almost guaranteed to lose.

The current Israeli-Hiz&#039;ballah conflict is a good example. The only way for Israel to destroy Hiz&#039;ballah is to also destroy those who protect and provide aid to Hiz&#039;ballah. We should have acted similarly in Iraq: when terrorists first took over large portions of Fallujah, we should have killed them all by simply leveling the place. Israel must, as a minimum, do the same with southern Lebanon, or it will surely lose.

The western countries have to annouce that this sort of war will be the norm. The Muslims will quickly get the message, and will turn on the terrorists who are ultimately responsible for the mess.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Israel is losing this war, primarily because of the infatuation of the world media with civilian deaths. The United States and other western countries, including Israel, has to seriously re-examine some aspects of international war, if it has any real hope of defeating the terrorists.</p>
<p>Our rules of engagement practices are not designed for asymmetric war, but are designed for wars in which one nation&#8217;s army fights another nation&#8217;s army. It seems obvious that terrorists quite deliberately do not adhere to such practices. As long as we choose to refrain from involving civilians in the wars, we are almost guaranteed to lose.</p>
<p>The current Israeli-Hiz&#8217;ballah conflict is a good example. The only way for Israel to destroy Hiz&#8217;ballah is to also destroy those who protect and provide aid to Hiz&#8217;ballah. We should have acted similarly in Iraq: when terrorists first took over large portions of Fallujah, we should have killed them all by simply leveling the place. Israel must, as a minimum, do the same with southern Lebanon, or it will surely lose.</p>
<p>The western countries have to annouce that this sort of war will be the norm. The Muslims will quickly get the message, and will turn on the terrorists who are ultimately responsible for the mess.</p>
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		<title>By: dougf</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80430</link>
		<dc:creator>dougf</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Jul 2006 04:47:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80430</guid>
		<description>Hi Terrye,

Nice to babble at you. I am still crossing my fingers and hoping against better judgment but if you think I am negative, you should read some of the comments from Israelis at the Haaretz site.

Wow, looks like a sizeable portion of the population is gearing up to do Olmert,Peretz, and company some serious damage.



&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/744043.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Send In The Clowns.&lt;/a&gt;
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Terrye,</p>
<p>Nice to babble at you. I am still crossing my fingers and hoping against better judgment but if you think I am negative, you should read some of the comments from Israelis at the Haaretz site.</p>
<p>Wow, looks like a sizeable portion of the population is gearing up to do Olmert,Peretz, and company some serious damage.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/744043.html" rel="nofollow">Send In The Clowns.</a></p>
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		<title>By: Terrye</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80429</link>
		<dc:creator>Terrye</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Jul 2006 23:09:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80429</guid>
		<description>Maybe the reason they did not do it is because it is almost impossible to know who Hezbellah is unless they are shooting at you.

I don&#039;t feel comfortable with second guessing Israel&#039;s strategy because I do not consider myself as expert on this. However, if it was really likely that a ground invasion with close air support could wipe out Hezbellah in a couple of weeks I think it would have been done a few decades ago.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Maybe the reason they did not do it is because it is almost impossible to know who Hezbellah is unless they are shooting at you.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t feel comfortable with second guessing Israel&#8217;s strategy because I do not consider myself as expert on this. However, if it was really likely that a ground invasion with close air support could wipe out Hezbellah in a couple of weeks I think it would have been done a few decades ago.</p>
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		<title>By: dougf</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80428</link>
		<dc:creator>dougf</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Jul 2006 22:46:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80428</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;BTW doug I forgot to ask, what does winning look like?&lt;/i&gt;--Terrye

Large scale ground assault backed by close air-support against likely targets in South Lebanon. Much like the attacks against the two towns actually levelled. If it is run by Hezbollah it is a target. Surely Israel at least knows which towns are on the list.

The object should only be to kill as many  Hezbollah personnel as humanely possible, and to demonstrate that they cannot protect anyone when push comes to shove. Surround the town and give everyone 12 hours to leave through Israeli checkpoints(on foot). Then assault the town with everything you have. Everything inside is targettable.

This should have been done a week or more ago. The air only campaign has failed. Now that might be just my opinion, but I am quite content to stand behind it.

The downside to this --- serious Israeli casualties, and lots of &#039;collateral damage&#039;. Well we are getting the &#039;collateral damage&#039; anyway. What we are not evidently getting is the results.
And yes , it is &#039;only&#039; media reports that we have to review so the truth might be different. But at this point I doubt it. Just last week the Mossad indicated that Hezbollah had not been significantly weakened, and that it could fight at this level for a very long period. How can that be good news?

Israel could still have responded to missiles by air strikes, but it could also have forced Hezbollah to fight in place or lose its local assets completely.

Israel failed to follow through. Now it&#039;s trapped in a true quagmire of indecision, with its window of opportunity closing inexorably.

Maybe Israel had good reasons not to go &#039;full-bore&#039; but if so they would have been better to have done NOTHING, and found another way to handle the problem.

What they have done to date is IMHO worse than nothing. A brutal campaign which paradoxically has been rendered ineffective and inefficient by a concern for &#039;appearances&#039;, an unwillingness to fight in Lebanon, and STUPID mistakes.

My reservations are all on the &#039;tactical&#039; level, not on the &#039;ethical&#039;. Israel had the &lt;b&gt;right&lt;/b&gt; to respond, but it also had the &lt;b&gt; duty &lt;/b&gt; to respond effectively.


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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>BTW doug I forgot to ask, what does winning look like?</i>&#8211;Terrye</p>
<p>Large scale ground assault backed by close air-support against likely targets in South Lebanon. Much like the attacks against the two towns actually levelled. If it is run by Hezbollah it is a target. Surely Israel at least knows which towns are on the list.</p>
<p>The object should only be to kill as many  Hezbollah personnel as humanely possible, and to demonstrate that they cannot protect anyone when push comes to shove. Surround the town and give everyone 12 hours to leave through Israeli checkpoints(on foot). Then assault the town with everything you have. Everything inside is targettable.</p>
<p>This should have been done a week or more ago. The air only campaign has failed. Now that might be just my opinion, but I am quite content to stand behind it.</p>
<p>The downside to this &#8212; serious Israeli casualties, and lots of &#8216;collateral damage&#8217;. Well we are getting the &#8216;collateral damage&#8217; anyway. What we are not evidently getting is the results.<br />
And yes , it is &#8216;only&#8217; media reports that we have to review so the truth might be different. But at this point I doubt it. Just last week the Mossad indicated that Hezbollah had not been significantly weakened, and that it could fight at this level for a very long period. How can that be good news?</p>
<p>Israel could still have responded to missiles by air strikes, but it could also have forced Hezbollah to fight in place or lose its local assets completely.</p>
<p>Israel failed to follow through. Now it&#8217;s trapped in a true quagmire of indecision, with its window of opportunity closing inexorably.</p>
<p>Maybe Israel had good reasons not to go &#8216;full-bore&#8217; but if so they would have been better to have done NOTHING, and found another way to handle the problem.</p>
<p>What they have done to date is IMHO worse than nothing. A brutal campaign which paradoxically has been rendered ineffective and inefficient by a concern for &#8216;appearances&#8217;, an unwillingness to fight in Lebanon, and STUPID mistakes.</p>
<p>My reservations are all on the &#8216;tactical&#8217; level, not on the &#8216;ethical&#8217;. Israel had the <b>right</b> to respond, but it also had the <b> duty </b> to respond effectively.</p>
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		<title>By: Terrye</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80427</link>
		<dc:creator>Terrye</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Jul 2006 22:03:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80427</guid>
		<description>BTW doug I forgot to ask, what does winning look like?
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>BTW doug I forgot to ask, what does winning look like?</p>
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		<title>By: Godzilla</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80426</link>
		<dc:creator>Godzilla</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Jul 2006 22:01:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80426</guid>
		<description>dougf, maybe Olmert read your last comment and decided to take action:

&lt;a href=&quot;http://news.yahoo.com/fc/world/mideast_conflict&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Cessation Of Bombing Raids Pending Investigation&lt;/a&gt;


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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dougf, maybe Olmert read your last comment and decided to take action:</p>
<p><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/fc/world/mideast_conflict" rel="nofollow">Cessation Of Bombing Raids Pending Investigation</a></p>
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		<title>By: Terrye</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80425</link>
		<dc:creator>Terrye</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Jul 2006 21:59:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80425</guid>
		<description>dougf:

The point is we only know what we hear on TV. For all we know Hezbellah brought down that building.

So is winning even possible with Kofi Annan and the world press up Israel&#039;s butt? I mean really, can it even be done?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dougf:</p>
<p>The point is we only know what we hear on TV. For all we know Hezbellah brought down that building.</p>
<p>So is winning even possible with Kofi Annan and the world press up Israel&#8217;s butt? I mean really, can it even be done?</p>
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		<title>By: dougf</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80424</link>
		<dc:creator>dougf</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Jul 2006 20:39:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80424</guid>
		<description>Terrye,

When the conflict is over and Israel has &#039;lost&#039;, I will still be demanding the &#039;impossible&#039;. As will the Israeli Public who will be enraged at their &#039;leaders&#039;.

Israel is &lt;b&gt; not &lt;/b&gt; conducting a bombing campaign like WW2. It is conducting a supposedly &#039;targetted&#039; campaign. How you can do this when it takes 5 minutes or so to set up and launch the missiles and just a further 2 minutes to disappear from view BEFORE the air assault arrives, is quite beyond me. All Israel is hitting in many cases is the place where the target USED TO BE. That is worse than useless.

The &#039;proof of the pudding is in the eating&#039; as they say and Israel is baking a concoction that will prove to be inedible. Soon.

And I think you misrepresent my comments.

I don&#039;t care at all about &#039;civilian casualties&#039;. I would prefer the &lt;i&gt; Cartago delenda est &lt;/i&gt; style of warfare if that is what will WIN. What annoys me is a style of warfare that does NOT do the job, leaves the &#039;enemy&#039; still largely intact, and still manages to lose the propaganda war at the very same time. It takes a degree of perverse genius to accomplish those very diverse goals at one and the same time.

At this rate the IDF will be giving lessons to the Russians in &lt;i&gt; Ineffective Brutality.&lt;/i&gt;

Be as ruthless as you need to be to WIN. The important part however is the WINNING. I and if I might suggest, many others, are not at all convinced that the current Israeli leadership knows what &#039;winning&#039; should look like.

A hint --- It don&#039;t look anything like this.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Terrye,</p>
<p>When the conflict is over and Israel has &#8216;lost&#8217;, I will still be demanding the &#8216;impossible&#8217;. As will the Israeli Public who will be enraged at their &#8216;leaders&#8217;.</p>
<p>Israel is <b> not </b> conducting a bombing campaign like WW2. It is conducting a supposedly &#8216;targetted&#8217; campaign. How you can do this when it takes 5 minutes or so to set up and launch the missiles and just a further 2 minutes to disappear from view BEFORE the air assault arrives, is quite beyond me. All Israel is hitting in many cases is the place where the target USED TO BE. That is worse than useless.</p>
<p>The &#8216;proof of the pudding is in the eating&#8217; as they say and Israel is baking a concoction that will prove to be inedible. Soon.</p>
<p>And I think you misrepresent my comments.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t care at all about &#8216;civilian casualties&#8217;. I would prefer the <i> Cartago delenda est </i> style of warfare if that is what will WIN. What annoys me is a style of warfare that does NOT do the job, leaves the &#8216;enemy&#8217; still largely intact, and still manages to lose the propaganda war at the very same time. It takes a degree of perverse genius to accomplish those very diverse goals at one and the same time.</p>
<p>At this rate the IDF will be giving lessons to the Russians in <i> Ineffective Brutality.</i></p>
<p>Be as ruthless as you need to be to WIN. The important part however is the WINNING. I and if I might suggest, many others, are not at all convinced that the current Israeli leadership knows what &#8216;winning&#8217; should look like.</p>
<p>A hint &#8212; It don&#8217;t look anything like this.</p>
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		<title>By: Terrye</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80423</link>
		<dc:creator>Terrye</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Jul 2006 20:06:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80423</guid>
		<description>dougf:

You are demanding the impossible.

Besides, do you think that if the Israelis sent tens of thousands of ground troops into these densely populatated areas to kick in doors and root out fighters that civilians would not be killed?

If this were WW2 the US would have &quot;lost&quot; because it bombed Tokyo and killed thousands of civilians after the Japanese bombed Pearl Harbor and killed 2300 American servicemen.

The problem is the Hezbellah hides and fights from behind civilians. Whether the Israelis depend on men on the ground or technology will not change the way the enemy fights.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dougf:</p>
<p>You are demanding the impossible.</p>
<p>Besides, do you think that if the Israelis sent tens of thousands of ground troops into these densely populatated areas to kick in doors and root out fighters that civilians would not be killed?</p>
<p>If this were WW2 the US would have &#8220;lost&#8221; because it bombed Tokyo and killed thousands of civilians after the Japanese bombed Pearl Harbor and killed 2300 American servicemen.</p>
<p>The problem is the Hezbellah hides and fights from behind civilians. Whether the Israelis depend on men on the ground or technology will not change the way the enemy fights.</p>
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		<title>By: dougf</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80422</link>
		<dc:creator>dougf</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Jul 2006 15:49:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2006/07/29/the-next-step/#comment-80422</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;I don&#039;t think Israel has failed...&lt;/i&gt;--Terrye

Unhappily I do.

Israel has made the one mistake it really should have been intelligent enough to avoid.

It has used air-power to save Israeli soldiers from having to fight but in doing so it has both failed to deal devastating blows to the enemy and has provided invaluable propaganda against itself.

Don&#039;t get me wrong. I am all in favour of BRUTAL. I don&#039;t believe in &#039;moral war&#039;. It is an oxymoron. What I am not in favour of is &lt;b&gt; incompetent and inefficient  BRUTALITY.

Examples that come to mind at once:

A. The Qana story just today. Sheer Stupidity on just about every level. Not even the ghost of an &#039;upside&#039; here.

B. The missile strike on a UN post that killed 4 UN soldiers. No matter what the &#039;tactical&#039; justification, it was also Sheer Stupidity. Not enough &#039;bang for the buck&#039;.

I am not saying that it was &#039;immoral&#039; to kill all those children at Qana or the 4 UN troopers. I am saying that it was Stupid, Careless, and Counter-Productive. These are quite different concepts.

All of these &#039;mistakes&#039; result from one cause. The &#039;casualty adverse&#039; IDF reliance on technology instead of troops. Better for Israel to have lost 200 more soldiers in fighting Hezbollah on the ground, than to have conducted this pathetic little campaign.

No pain -- No Gain. Israel is about to prove the wisdom of that adage all over again.

&lt;i&gt;There&#039;s a general sense in Israel that the IDF hasn&#039;t exactly been covering itself in glory for quite a few months now, and certainly since the Keren Shalom fiasco.&lt;/i&gt;

Yeah what he said.

&lt;b&gt;Soon&lt;/b&gt; now this will all stop as International Pressure becomes irresistible. Then where will Israel be?

My guess is up that infamous creek with all the spare paddles having been previously targeted in error by the IAF. &lt;/b&gt;
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>I don&#8217;t think Israel has failed&#8230;</i>&#8211;Terrye</p>
<p>Unhappily I do.</p>
<p>Israel has made the one mistake it really should have been intelligent enough to avoid.</p>
<p>It has used air-power to save Israeli soldiers from having to fight but in doing so it has both failed to deal devastating blows to the enemy and has provided invaluable propaganda against itself.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t get me wrong. I am all in favour of BRUTAL. I don&#8217;t believe in &#8216;moral war&#8217;. It is an oxymoron. What I am not in favour of is <b> incompetent and inefficient  BRUTALITY.</p>
<p>Examples that come to mind at once:</p>
<p>A. The Qana story just today. Sheer Stupidity on just about every level. Not even the ghost of an &#8216;upside&#8217; here.</p>
<p>B. The missile strike on a UN post that killed 4 UN soldiers. No matter what the &#8216;tactical&#8217; justification, it was also Sheer Stupidity. Not enough &#8216;bang for the buck&#8217;.</p>
<p>I am not saying that it was &#8216;immoral&#8217; to kill all those children at Qana or the 4 UN troopers. I am saying that it was Stupid, Careless, and Counter-Productive. These are quite different concepts.</p>
<p>All of these &#8216;mistakes&#8217; result from one cause. The &#8216;casualty adverse&#8217; IDF reliance on technology instead of troops. Better for Israel to have lost 200 more soldiers in fighting Hezbollah on the ground, than to have conducted this pathetic little campaign.</p>
<p>No pain &#8212; No Gain. Israel is about to prove the wisdom of that adage all over again.</p>
<p><i>There&#8217;s a general sense in Israel that the IDF hasn&#8217;t exactly been covering itself in glory for quite a few months now, and certainly since the Keren Shalom fiasco.</i></p>
<p>Yeah what he said.</p>
<p></b><b>Soon</b> now this will all stop as International Pressure becomes irresistible. Then where will Israel be?</p>
<p>My guess is up that infamous creek with all the spare paddles having been previously targeted in error by the IAF. </p>
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