In the latest Fox News Poll, Paul has declined from 3 percent of the vote last month to 2 percent now. An interesting stat is that with Gingrich in the race, he declines further to 1 percent. But Gingrich is only garnering a puny 4 percent himself. Does that mean that one in four Gingrich voters would be former Paul voters? Not very flattering to Newt… Or a strange commentary on the Paulites, since Gingrich is a complete hawk on the war. Go figure.
Meanwhile, there was a big Thompson bubble on Rasmussen that didn’t appear at all on the Fox News Poll. Of course, Rasmussen is one-day poll but still… Go figure again.
Maybe the late Pauline Kael had a point when she famously said: “I don’t know how Nixon got elected. No one I know voted for him.” Or something like that.
UPDATE: Oh, by the way, speaking of polling or Pauling (not Linus), this is the Daily Paul, in case you haven’t read it. I discovered its existence via the Pajamas Media referrers log, where they are quite active. They’re obviously quite interested in polls or… [Stop that.-ed. Okay, okay.]
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9 Comments
1. rinkuhero:Two things:
1) http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/articles/ron-paul-now-at-five-percent-new-hampshire.html
2) Remember the margin of error. These polls typically poll around 400 people, which gives them a margin of error of about 3% plus or minus.
Sep 15, 2007 - 1:42 am 2. David Thomson:I sense that Newt Gingrich can only cause damage. He is wasting everyone’s time. He seems to be on an ego trip. I doubt very much if Gingrich will ever poll above 4%.
Sep 15, 2007 - 10:32 am 3. Gary Rosen:But David, I would love to see Newt take an important national security post (NSC or Sec. of State?) in the Giuliani administration.
Sep 15, 2007 - 2:07 pm 4. Gary Rosen:… and John Bolton for the other one.
Sep 15, 2007 - 2:09 pm 5. David Thomson:I am afraid that Newt Gingrich is bitter because he is no longer a top player in the political arena. Might he subconsciously wish to “punish” the GOP because of his second rate status? In back of Newt’s mind, is he saying? “If I can’t have the presidency—then no Republican can have it!”
Sep 15, 2007 - 2:41 pm 6. LouMinatti:Ron Paul is a punchline. He has little support, but the support he does have is annoyingly loud. It does seem very odd that so-called liberals are fond of Paul because he battles against the dreaded “neocons”. Do these people know that David Duke and the Stormfront people are also firmly in the Ron Paul camp?
Sep 15, 2007 - 7:32 pm 7. Buddy Larsen:Newt sure does have a good handle on the culture and the historical forces operating on it.
Sep 16, 2007 - 6:08 am 8. MarkD:I’d say the switch to Newt is the small government conservatives who were for Ron Paul on that issue only.
Sep 16, 2007 - 12:22 pm 9. sparkie:I think Newt ought to continue speaking about conservative principles, without necessarily running himself.
He is a good speaker with a strong grasp of many of the issues today, but he is unelectable, I believe.
The same thing ought to be done by other presidential aspirants, regardless of whether they win the nomination or not, they still ought to care enough about conservative victory in America that they continue speaking, but now supporting the primary winner and the general principles of conservatism.
Sep 19, 2007 - 1:30 pm