I thought of AJ Liebling’s famous quote when comparing two current political polls -Rasumussen and NYT/CBS – showing diametrically opposite results for the general election. In the former, McCain leads the two Democrats; in the latter, the reverse. Of course it’s way too early anyway, but it would be interesting to have a serious study of the polling methods.
Roger L. Simon
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4 Comments
1. David Thomson:I’ll put my money on Rasmussen. He has a reputation of being non-ideological. I could be wrong, but I suspect the NYT/CBS poll frames its questions in a very vague and leading manner. Negative responses of any kind are deemed helpful to Democrats—even though the respondent is a convinced Republican. There’s no doubt but that others possessing substantial knowledge regarding polling techniques will be take a look at the data. It will be interesting to see what they say.
Apr 4, 2008 - 11:18 am 2. Pierre Legrand:Roger a bit off topic but how do I send a tip to PJ Media? The contact form is either not on the site or I cannot find it.
Thanks
Pierre
Apr 4, 2008 - 12:01 pm 3. TerryeL:According to Ed Morrisey over at Hot Air, the difference is in the demographics. Polling 60% Democrats will give them an advantage, which is no doubt just what NYT had in mind.
It is rather like the economy, all slight of hand….I can remember when the unemployment rate at 5.3% was considered amazing back when Clinton was president, now 5.1% means ruin.
Apr 4, 2008 - 12:14 pm 4. Michael J. Totten:The real question here is, which poll has a better track record for accuracy?
Apr 4, 2008 - 4:36 pm