<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
		>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: Mickey  cruel to the punditocracy</title>
	<atom:link href="http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/04/23/mickey-cruel-to-the-punditocracy/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/04/23/mickey-cruel-to-the-punditocracy/</link>
	<description>Just another Pajamasmedia.com weblog</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sun, 22 Nov 2009 20:22:42 -0800</lastBuildDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4</generator>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
		<item>
		<title>By: David C</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/04/23/mickey-cruel-to-the-punditocracy/#comment-94205</link>
		<dc:creator>David C</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Apr 2008 14:04:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/04/23/mickey-cruel-to-the-punditocracy/#comment-94205</guid>
		<description>Actually, I think exit polls can be both crappy *and* accurate, just in different ways.

Where they&#039;re pretty provably crappy is for *counting* voters.  For whatever reasons, they do a bad job of figuring out what percentage of real voters were Obama voters or Hillary voters.

But figuring out, say, the psychology or demographics of Obama voters on election day, that&#039;s easier.  You just need to talk to a large enough sample of Obama voters, and you don&#039;t care how many of them you have compared to Hillary voters.  There can still be distortions (and I&#039;m sure there are), but I think the &quot;internals&quot; are probably a lot more reliable and useful than the &quot;who&#039;s winning&quot; data.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Actually, I think exit polls can be both crappy *and* accurate, just in different ways.</p>
<p>Where they&#8217;re pretty provably crappy is for *counting* voters.  For whatever reasons, they do a bad job of figuring out what percentage of real voters were Obama voters or Hillary voters.</p>
<p>But figuring out, say, the psychology or demographics of Obama voters on election day, that&#8217;s easier.  You just need to talk to a large enough sample of Obama voters, and you don&#8217;t care how many of them you have compared to Hillary voters.  There can still be distortions (and I&#8217;m sure there are), but I think the &#8220;internals&#8221; are probably a lot more reliable and useful than the &#8220;who&#8217;s winning&#8221; data.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Lem</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/04/23/mickey-cruel-to-the-punditocracy/#comment-94204</link>
		<dc:creator>Lem</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Apr 2008 02:50:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/04/23/mickey-cruel-to-the-punditocracy/#comment-94204</guid>
		<description>I think David has a good point.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think David has a good point.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: David Thomson</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/04/23/mickey-cruel-to-the-punditocracy/#comment-94203</link>
		<dc:creator>David Thomson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Apr 2008 01:17:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/04/23/mickey-cruel-to-the-punditocracy/#comment-94203</guid>
		<description>Dick Morris often praises exit polling as extremely accurate. My guess is that it may no longer be true. Exit polling is perhaps effective if the person being questioned behaves in a passive manner. But what happens if someone actively seeks to be questioned so that they show support for their candidate?

There is, alas, also an unpleasant possibility in this race drenched political cycle. And yes, it might be the so-called Bradley effect. Could some guilt tripped whites feel uncomfortable telling someone else, especially if they are a minority---that they did not vote for &quot;Barry&quot; Obama?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dick Morris often praises exit polling as extremely accurate. My guess is that it may no longer be true. Exit polling is perhaps effective if the person being questioned behaves in a passive manner. But what happens if someone actively seeks to be questioned so that they show support for their candidate?</p>
<p>There is, alas, also an unpleasant possibility in this race drenched political cycle. And yes, it might be the so-called Bradley effect. Could some guilt tripped whites feel uncomfortable telling someone else, especially if they are a minority&#8212;that they did not vote for &#8220;Barry&#8221; Obama?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: srlucado</title>
		<link>http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/04/23/mickey-cruel-to-the-punditocracy/#comment-94202</link>
		<dc:creator>srlucado</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Apr 2008 22:35:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/04/23/mickey-cruel-to-the-punditocracy/#comment-94202</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s just one of those stupid things that the news has to do when it&#039;s live.

You know, reports like:
&quot;It&#039;s raining really hard now...&quot;
&quot;There&#039;s a lot of police activity here at the scene...&quot;
&quot;The heat from this fire is intense...&quot;

(How many years of journalism school do you need to do that?)

It does, however, give us insight into the empty-headedness of the blathering class.  Without a feed from a Tele-Prompt-R, they couldn&#039;t recite their birthdate.

But let&#039;s face it, life in real-time just isn&#039;t that interesting.

Scott
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s just one of those stupid things that the news has to do when it&#8217;s live.</p>
<p>You know, reports like:<br />
&#8220;It&#8217;s raining really hard now&#8230;&#8221;<br />
&#8220;There&#8217;s a lot of police activity here at the scene&#8230;&#8221;<br />
&#8220;The heat from this fire is intense&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>(How many years of journalism school do you need to do that?)</p>
<p>It does, however, give us insight into the empty-headedness of the blathering class.  Without a feed from a Tele-Prompt-R, they couldn&#8217;t recite their birthdate.</p>
<p>But let&#8217;s face it, life in real-time just isn&#8217;t that interesting.</p>
<p>Scott</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>
