Well, it looked promising there for a day or two, but reality (like most African leaders, Mugabe thinks he’s President For Life) is setting in. He has no intention of leaving power. Last news I say online said that the hotel with most foreign correspondents had been surrounded by “security forces.” Here’s an update from Ground Zero, as usual anonymous for obvious reasons:
Last night, optimism boiled over, at least for a moment. When my friend D
walked into a home where a group of us had gathered to say farewell to an
84-year-old woman about to decamp to South Africa, he high-fived everyone in
the room.
“The New Zimbabwe!” he proclaimed, unable to stop smiling.
Over dinner, his 15-year-old son offered him a bribe if he’d only give up
his last roast potato. “Not in the New Zimbabwe!” he declared. “We are now
living in a free and fair democracy without corruption.”
The table buzzed with excitement, with anticipation, with sheer relief.
I wanted to join in, to share that moment of joy with friends who have lived
through the murders of old classmates, the destruction of their businesses,
the death of their communities, the shattering of the only world they¹d ever
known.
But I couldn’t; I’ve gained too much respect for the stamina and will of Robert Mugabe & Co.
Driving home, I worried that I’d become infected with the peculiarly
Zimbabwean malady, the belief in the invincibility of Robert Mugabe. After
all, his ZANU-PF party had lost control over the House of Assembly for the
first time in 27 years. Every Western newspaper on the planet seemed poised
to write the story of the passing of the Old Man from power. They were so
confident that foreign reporters were crowding into Harare with little
regard for the fact that they were breaking the law.
I tried to buck up my spirits, but I couldn¹t quell the gnawing feeling in
my stomach that the opposition’s victory in the House elections would serve
to legitimize the entire process, providing the government with cover for
theft of the senatorial and presidential elections.
This morning, the gnawing turned to dread when the electoral commission,
which had promised to begin announcing the results of the senatorial
election, failed to appear on television, even to explain the delay.
Throughout the day, it became increasingly clear that Mugabe wasn¹t looking
for an honorable way to leave office or negotiating with the opposition. He
was preparing to win a run-off election for the presidency although the
results have yet to be announced.
Just after dinner, the head of the election observation team from the
African Union appeared on television as he departed for Ethiopia. Without
even waiting for the results, he congratulated Zimbabweans on the high
quality and professionalism of their election. Zimbabwe leads the world, he
said. Not even the United States dares hold a complex election for so many
offices at once.
Shortly thereafter, police raided the campaign headquarters of the MDC, the
leading opposition party, at the fanciest hotel in Harare. Simultaneously,
security forces stormed into a hotel filled with foreign journalists, whose
presence here violates the law because they are operating without licenses,
and took several of them away.
I am not gloating at my prescience. I’m weeping with the rest of Zimbabwe.
UPDATE: NY Times star reporter arrested.



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5 Comments
Fetiche Nouvelle:They must be allowed to save themselves, or to sink. We cannot help them to their ultimate benefit.
Apr 3, 2008 - 8:08 pm davod:The Brits are looking to massively increase aid tp Zimbabwe.
Apr 4, 2008 - 5:04 am RAH:I have been watching the destruction of Zimbabwe for years. Carter was directly responsible for pushing to get Mugabe elected since he was MArxist guerilla.
Back ground at http://www.weeklystandard.com/Content/Public/Articles/000/000/013/746zsgtg.asp?pg=2
What I do not understand is why the people have allowed themselves to be subjected to such tyranny? Why haven’t they rose up in rebellion?
Mugabe is afraid of getting his just deserts as any other dictactor. For his own safety he can not give up power.
ML:
They don’t rise up because they are subjected to systematic terror by the regime. They need help from outside. Just as we did during our revolutionary war…
Apr 4, 2008 - 2:32 pm a Duoist:The risk-takers in Zimbabwe left long ago. Fully 20% of the population–the optimistic risk-takers–has fled the socialist paradise called ‘Zimbabwe,’ leaving the country behind to only the most passive, pessimistic citizens.
With the loss of so many millions of their most intrepid citizens–those who voted with their feet–the remaining population of Zimbabwe is now disproportionately left socialist. They already had their socialist revolution in 1979, so where does the remaining socialist population now turn to ‘reform’ their governance, except to another ‘gentler’ form of socialism?
Zimbabwe is a failed state, and with the complete loss of its alternative philosophy, it will lag behind the economic growth of other states for centuries to come.
Every socialist country in the world ranks in the bottom quarter of all nations by measures of human rights or economic prosperity. With the loss of their risk-takers, Zimbabwe is in the cellar, both psychologically as well as economically.
No amount of foreign aid or FDI is going to turn around this nation-wide socialist world-view when the alternative world-view no longer exists within the country, nor will simply spinning new ‘democratic socialist’ leadership through the turn-styles turn Zimbabwe around. The remaining socialist Zmbabwean people have their paradise; all of their risk-takers have fled.
Who is John Galt?
ML:
I’m not convinced that the freedom lovers left. You could just as easily argue that those who left were running from a fight, couldn’t you?
I wouldn’t want to generalize about either group, frankly. These are very complicated situations in my experience. Nobody thought the citizens of the captive nations of the Soviet bloc would resist, but when the time came…
Apr 4, 2008 - 5:19 pm Hotpatch 6:How many communist thugs can we recall who gracefully ceded power? I doubt if Mugabe will be the first.
ML:
well, there was the last dictator of East Germany. Betcha you can’t remember his name…big toothy smile, remember?
and in essence gorbachev, too…when the air goes out of the balloon, they do sometimes step down.
Apr 8, 2008 - 10:41 am